Surge Pays projects strong growth with $75-90 million revenue guidance for 2025
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Surge Pays reports 8.9% sequential revenue increase and aggressive Lifeline activations, guiding for $75-90 million in revenue for 2025.


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Summary

  • Surge Pays reported a sequential revenue increase of 8.9%, reaching $11.5 million for Q2 2025, with a strong growth trajectory expected in all business verticals.
  • The company provided revenue guidance of $75-90 million for 2025 and $225-240 million for 2026, driven by strategic partnerships and the expansion of its Lifeline and Linkup Mobile programs.
  • Surge Pays highlighted the successful integration of a direct strategic partnership with AT&T, enhancing its telecom infrastructure capabilities and positioning for further growth.
  • Operational highlights included significant growth in Lifeline activations, with projections to reach 80-90,000 subscribers by September, and the expansion of the MVNO prepaid platform.
  • Management expressed confidence in future growth due to increased activations, expanding distribution, and scalable technology platforms, while acknowledging past challenges and emphasizing a focus on execution at scale.

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OPERATOR - (00:05:28)

Good day everyone and welcome to the Surge Pays 2025 second quarter financial results Conference call. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen only mode and we will open the floor for your questions and comments after the presentation. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Valter Pinto, Investor Relations at Surgepays. Sir, the floor is yours.

Valter Pinto - Investor Relations - (00:05:59)

Thank you Operator and good afternoon everyone. Welcome to the Surgepays 2025 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. Today's date is August 13, 2025 and on the call today from the company are Brian Cox, President and CEO and Tony Evers, cfo. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that this call may contain forward looking statements as they are defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward looking statements. For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties, please see Surge Pay's most recent filings with the sec. All forward looking statements made today reflect our current expectations only and we undertake no obligation to update any statement to reflect the events that occur after this call. Copies of today's press release are accessible on Surgepays investor relations website ir.surgepays.com and in addition, Surge Pay's Form 10Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2025 will also be available on Surge Pay's investor relations website. I'd now like to turn the call over to President and CEO Brian Cox.

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:07:08)

Brian, good afternoon and thank you for joining us. Our second quarter 2025 revenue increased approximately 8.9% sequentially, bringing total revenue for the first half of 2025 to approximately $22.1 million. Subsequent to the second quarter, we saw a strong accelerating momentum across all of our business verticals, our MVNO operations through Linkup Mobile and our government subsidized brand Torch Wireless, as well as our MVNE wholesale platform which offers a full suite of nationwide wireless solutions to third party wireless providers. Our Surge Pays point of sale prepaid top ups revenue has spiked upwards as well. Today is less about the past and more about what's happening now and what's ahead. We have visibility on our growth and full confidence in providing revenue guidance of 75 to 90 million for 2025 and 225 to 240 million for 2026. Let me start with the subsidized Lifeline wireless program through our Torch brand which has scaled significantly. The Lifeline program is A government subsidized benefit program that provides essential wireless connectivity to those who qualify. While the ramp in activations took about 60 days longer than we anticipated due to regulatory approvals and software platform adjustments, we are now 100% live and activations are steadily increasing daily. After activating 20,000 Lifeline subscribers in June, we acted 57,000 in July and are now projecting to activate 80 to 90,000 subscribers, approximately 3,000 per day by September. To put this into perspective, at our highest peak during Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP), we were activating roughly 3,000 per day. With Lifeline, we are approaching that level and have reached it in a significantly shorter period of time. What's even more exciting is that we're still operating well below our full capacity. Many sales channels are still being opened, so we expect continued sales growth. This positions us exceptionally well for the continued growth in the months ahead. During ACP, we made significant investments in infrastructure and operational efficiencies to support the growth we experienced. When Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP) funding ended in June of last year, we immediately repurposed that infrastructure to support Lifeline and our other platforms. We successfully built upon that foundation by adding an exceptionally seasoned team, new technology, additional distribution, and most notably a direct strategic partnership with AT&T. We signed a multi year agreement with AT&T in November 2024 and completed full integration including a network migration and SIM activation rollout on April 1st. This partnership gives us direct access to one of the most reliable networks in the country and positions us to provide backend telecom infrastructure to MVNOs that don't have a direct carrier relationship. Another key differentiating factor from the Affordable Connectivity Program (ACP) days is that we are now uniquely diversified not only through Lifeline, but also our MVNO prepaid Linkup platform. We fully launched Linkup in April, activating approximately 10,000 users. In July we more than doubled that, surpassing 20,500 activations, driven primarily by expanded retail distribution, targeted marketing and competitive pricing. The grind of market adoption takes longer on the prepaid side of the wireless business, but we are seeing the expected traction. These drivers are sustainable as we continue opening new doors and building customer loyalty. The heart of this model is our proprietary point of sale software which not only facilitates transactions but also drives reoccurring revenue from activations and replenishments right at the convenience store register. It's not just a tool, it's the backbone of our ecosystem and a true competitive advantage. Third party prepaid wireless top up revenue is a key indicator of future revenue growth in our other products. In July alone we generated 4.3 million in top up revenue and are projecting nearly 5 million in August, putting us at a run rate of over 60 million, assuming no growth. Last year at this time we were generating approximately 1 million in monthly top up revenue. This same channel's revenue in July 2025 is now almost four times higher. Our strategic initiatives, including the recent signing of several key new accounts, are expected to drive sustained recurring revenue growth. The model is working and the investments are paying off. On the wholesale side, our MVNE platform is a growing revenue engine with a robust pipeline. As an MVNE, we provide billing, provisioning, sims and esims to other wireless companies. A high margin model with minimal incremental costs and low overhead. Many MVNOs in the market today are actually sub MVNOs. We're one of the few with direct carrier access, putting us in a rare and powerful position. To date we've onboarded three MVNO partners. Collectively, these partners serve thousands of subscribers and they're looking to grow quickly, providing us with a path to scale our platform and reoccurring revenue base. We are also in advanced talks with national convenience store distributors, each with footprints in tens of thousands of community retail store locations. Last quarter we discussed HT Hackney which services over 40,000 stores. Hackney is carrying our Phone in a Box product which continues to perform well. Phone in a Box is our retail ready grab and go solution that enables stores to sell and instantly activate wireless service by scanning it at the register. As rollout progresses, each Hackney location becomes part of our extended ecosystem and begins to accept top up payments for our monthly wireless plans. That means each store transforms into a new activation point for our entire product suite. Our near term goal is to ramp to 100,000 locations operating on the surge pays platform driven by a combination of organic growth and distribution agreements with HT Hackney and other partners. Before I turn the call over to Tony to discuss our results in more detail, I could not be more excited about the future. July was the turning point. We have built a powerful engine that blends technology, innovation and distribution. Today we have the products, partnerships and infrastructure to enter the next phase of high growth. Thank you for your support and belief in our mission. I'll now turn it over to Tony for a detailed review of our Q2 financials.

Tony Evers - Chief Financial Officer - (00:14:49)

Tony thank you Brian and good afternoon everyone. Second quarter 2025 revenue totaled $11.5 million, an increase of 8.9% sequentially compared to 10.6 million for the first quarter of 2025. 2024 marked the end of the federally funded ACP and as expected year over year financials have been impacted. Our platform service president revenue growth was robust, generating 9.2 million in the second quarter of 2025 as compared to 2.5 million in the second quarter of 2024. We have achieved strong prepaid top up revenue growth over the past two quarters, reflecting the execution and leadership of our new vice president. Our strategic initiatives, including the signing of several key new accounts, are expected to drive sustained recurring revenue growth. Gross profit was a loss of 2.7 million for the second quarter of 2025 compared to a gross profit loss of 3.4 million for the second quarter of 2024. As indicated, we continue the transition of our business model from ACP to link up mobile and lifeline verticals. SG&A expenses decreased 45% year over year to 4.1 million during the second quarter of 2025 as compared to 7.4 million for the second quarter of 2024. The decrease was primarily due to a reduction in non cash compensation to various employees along with a reduction in contractors and consultants and professional service presidents partly offset by an increase in computer and Internet advertising and marketing and other expenses. Loss from operations was 6.8 million in the second quarter of 2025 compared to 10.9 million in operating loss in the second quarter of 2024. Our reported net loss and loss per share for the second quarter of 2025 were 7.1 million and negative $0.35 per share. Our loss and loss per share continues to be impacted by the transition from ACP. Turning to the balance sheet, our cash and cash equivalents and investment balances as of June 30, 2025 were 4.4 million compared to 11.8 million as of December 31, 2024. As Brian mentioned, we are providing revenue guidance of 75 to 90 million for 2025 and 225 to 240 million for 2026. At this time I would like to turn the call back over to Brian for closing comments.

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:17:27)

Thanks Tony. To summarize, Q2 was about building and positioning post quarter. We've hit the acceleration phase we've been talking about and the numbers already reflect it. Our activation growth, expanding distribution and scalable technology platforms give us confidence that we're on the right path to create significant shareholder value. We've addressed the challenges, proven the model and are now focused on executing at scale. I would like to thank our shareholders for their continued support and our team for their tireless efforts in making this growth possible. Now before we take questions, I have a note here to clarify that when I refer to revenue growth being up across every vertical, referencing growth trajectory quarter over quarter and after Q2 Operator. We will now open it to questions.

OPERATOR - (00:18:25)

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen. The floor is now open for questions. If you would like to join the queue to ask a question at this time, Please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. We do ask if listening on speakerphone today that you pick up your handset while asking your question to provide optimal sound quality. Once again, please press star one on your keypad at this time. If you wish to join the queue to ask a question, please hold a moment while we poll for questions. And your first question today is coming from John Roy from Water Tower Research. John, your line is live. Please go ahead.

John Roy - Analyst - (00:19:08)

Thanks. It looks like you've got quite an acceleration coming up in Lifeline activations. I kind of wondered what are really the key drivers that are driving that growth. Thanks for the question, John. The drivers right now are in states with the higher margin, ACP, similar gross margins. Obviously we blend those in across to all states, but that's really our focus for obvious reasons, the profitability of the customer and the return. So when you're starting, you know, we touched on this a little last quarter, but we didn't have the visibility into it happening where we could literally stick our head out the window and look down and see the asphalt flying by. We were just looking ahead. We had the platform geared up for ACP, retooling it for Lifeline and then retooling it for some of these state specific programs that give the extra money. So what you see is a lot of the experience, a lot of the wisdom, a lot of the things we've learned across the last, let's see what. Since 2006, being a part of the Lifeline program, and as a reminder to everyone, Lifeline has been around since Ronald Reagan. He instituted the program, you know, it basically switched over to Wireless around 2010, 2011, but it's been around a long, long time. Part of the budget, you know, some of the things that are not similar to ACP, that was a separate non budgeted item. But yeah, you know, we've learned we've added a lot of inventory controls, we've added a lot of compliance components which were some of the actual reasons why the delayed start, things that help facilitate faster, quicker enrollments, things that used to be manual workarounds are now all built into the system. So, you know, we referenced as well, it's a little frustrating and exciting at the same time because we're still not, you know, I See all these sales channels yet to come. And obviously we want to go now, now, now, more and more and more. But you know, we're methodically rolling this out, hitting our numbers that are in our projections for those sweet spots of growth. And yeah, I mean, we've made a lot of connections over the past 10 years. Those folks are excited to come back to work for us. And a lot of the same similarities with the ACP program, including tents out in front of convenience stores or in front of DHS offices around the country. So it's very similar to those that watched our growth during ACP. Great. So as a follow up, you've got Lifeline and Link Up. How do you really balance the priorities. Between those two different businesses?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:21:53)

It's really kind of a dollar allocation question. Are you really going to push growth here? Are you really going to push growth there? Push growth everywhere. I mean, you know, you can't really realistically do everything. How are you balancing those two different businesses? You know, it's even a broader question than that. It's, you've got your, you've got your top ups, you've got your opportunities. Over here with Linkup, which we are excited to talk about, some of the upcoming quarters, you've got all these things sitting and how do you allocate your resource? And I think that goes back to our management team's experience and bluntly what the upper management of our company has been able to accomplish over their careers. And in telecom, it's just, it's almost like looking at different plans. If you have different plans that are more profitable, which ones do you incentivize in the field? Well, that's the way I look at subsidiaries and right now it's even more. And let's make a step back. Those who have been entrepreneurs or started their own businesses probably relate to me a little bit right now because when you're not in the black, basically what you look for is how do I, number one, cancel out my expenses with income and number two, get numbers black. How do I get there? Quick as possible, the path of least resistance. So you have knowns and you have unknowns. The market adoption for Link up, you know, that's a grind. We talked about that in the script. You put incentives out there, you shake hands, those masters go out, set up doors, you hope that your plans are better, you hope that customers choose you. Lifeline, it's almost known revenue. If we put out so many people with so many phones, we know there's going to be a direct return, which why we are so confident in our numbers and we're watching it, and we've watched those numbers align the last 90 days. So to answer your question, in a long way, just to kind of give you the methodology behind it, we go after what's known, we go after the sure thing, and we go after, you know, one of the industries that a couple of us help build, the Lifeline industry. So right now we have a set number that we know. When we get this many customers in these certain states, we are cash flow positive. When we get this many here, over here, we're profitable. So those are, those are the knowns. Those are where we're spending our most time. That's where I'm spending a lot of my time, just from the historical legacy that I've got in the Lifeline program. So that is where the focus and where we're putting most of our resources right now. Great. Thanks for the clarification there. Thanks.

OPERATOR - (00:24:40)

Thank you. Your next question is coming from Michael, Diana from Maxim Group. Michael, your line is live. Please go ahead.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:24:48)

Thanks. Hey, Brian, I have some more specific questions about Lifeline. So you just mentioned tents and stuff, but is most of this through your retail network or tents? And the other part of that is what sort of commission, if any, are you paying to get each account?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:25:12)

Yes, the tents right now are allocated to the states with extra money. And I don't want to bore people to death on a granular level. But there's two components of the Lifeline program. One of them is federal, it's $9.25. The other is any additional state, primarily some of the blue states that give extra money. The states that have extra money, we have tents. Like I said, it's very similar to ACP margins. ACP distribution. In the other states we're doing online. So there is a blend there. There's modeling that goes into that. There's not enough profit in the 925 to paying people to man enrollment tents. But there is in the other states. You know, we still have. Not because of the response, which is. I'm not going to say it's overwhelming. It's a little more than what we anticipated. It was definitely more friendly than what we thought it would be. It thought it'd be a little tougher. You know, we still have the retail network component that we haven't even opened yet. And you know, we've tested it, we have a little here and there, but we haven't allocated a lot of time and resource to because we're getting such a great Return from the tent. It's like fishing. If there's no reason to switch over from worms to crickets if you're, you know, you're crushing it with worms. That's kind of what we're doing right now. Now, we do look to scale as we grow, but right now, you know, we're almost running out of phones. Things are going so fast, and I can't run out of phones, because if you think we talked about this back in the days of ACP, when it comes to inventory, you can't sell out of inventory, because then people have nothing that day. They always have to have backup inventories. Then you lose your salespeople, your enrollment agents. So there's always. Got it. You got to stay ahead of the game and inventory wise. So that has been our. Where we've been really, really hands on, you know, navigating this, scaling up and ramping up.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:27:02)

Yep. Okay, so for your. For your $9.25 states, it's virtually all online, no commissions. For the. For the more, the higher revenue states, you're doing tents and you have to pay, what, one time up front or.

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:27:20)

Yeah, it's usually one time, and that varies.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:27:23)

Yeah. And what is the additional revenue in some of these states.

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:27:30)

You'Re looking at anywhere? You know, some states give upfront of an additional $19 plus ongoing. Let's just say ballpark. 18. You've got some states that have tribal.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:27:44)

You may not. Not 925 and 18, just 18. Is that what you're saying?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:27:49)

Yeah. No, no, I apologize. That's the additional. You know what? For clarity, I thought you asked for additional. Yeah, there's going. Yeah. Okay. Let's take a step back. Let's take a step back. Let's go net what we would get from states with additional money, the ones we're targeting, you're looking at a net of about $27. Ballpark. What's unique about that, Mike, is that, you know, you could look at. It's close to ACP. It's $3 less. Yeah, it is $3 less. But we have a better contract now from AT&T, so my cost is about $3 less. So magically, in the universe, it's almost the identical spread of margin.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:28:27)

Wow. Okay. And what is. That was my next question. What is your monthly cost?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:28:35)

Well, you're asking me to give out my. My wholesale numbers. I can't give up my wholesale numbers because that's. I have found through. You know, unfortunately, we have people who don't wish us greatness on These calls. So, you know, I don't want to give away any of the things. And I also have people who sell for us and rather than them not use my own words to negotiate against me for higher commissions. So let's just say that our margins are very similar to ACP. Cost of acquisition is very similar to ACP. And in those regions, that's specifically what we're focusing on. Because if you look at our numbers, we know, for example, you know, ballpark, 90,000, higher margin ACP, like customers, we're sitting cash flow positive. So that's if you want to really drill it down. The hair on fire focus laser of all the management team is getting to that number first, then everything else is gravy after that.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:29:36)

Yeah. And are any devices involved in any of these. Smartphones?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:29:45)

Yeah, I mean, I mean, are you. Do you have to give a smartphone? Do they buy a smartphone? What's the deal? We have found that we've tried it SIM only. And you're, you know, you can go that route and you could also do a blend of SIM for some, smartphone for others. But if you can get a smartphone for ballpark, $30 and you run the math on the stickiness or longevity of the customer, you're going to have them a whole lot longer with a phone. And you're actually going to increase your customer acquisition with a phone. It just makes sense. And look, a lot of people use that phone for, you know, eight, nine, 10 months. Some use it merely as a vessel until they are able to go buy an iPhone or a Galaxy, usually in the spring with tax credits. That's normally what we see.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:30:34)

So are you saying you give them a $30 smartphone or they pay you $30 for a smartphone?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:30:41)

We give them a $30 smartphone.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:30:44)

Okay. Okay. So your model is probably going to look very similar to what your ACP model was. Yeah. But you don't get reimbursed for the phone. Right.

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:30:58)

We get a. There is a connection credit in some states that is almost. Almost the. Almost the cost of the phone.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:31:08)

Oh, wow.

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:31:12)

Yeah, we're pretty excited.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:31:13)

You are getting reimbursed for the phone for the most part. Is that what you're saying?

Brian Cox - President and CEO - (00:31:18)

Ballpark. Two thirds of it.

Michael Diana - Analyst - (00:31:20)

Two thirds. Wow. Okay. All right. Very exciting. Thanks a lot, Brian. Sure. Thank you for the questions.

OPERATOR - (00:31:31)

Thank you. Your next question is coming from Ed Wu from Ascendient Capital. Ed, your line is live. Please go ahead.

Ed Wu - Analyst - (00:31:39)

Yeah. Congratulations on all the progress and definitely for the guidance. Really appreciate it and excited for you guys. My question is, how is the competitive marketplace. It seems like you're ramping up a lot of these new customers. Are you taking them from someone else? And is there any risk of, you know, price competition going forward? Insightful question. Always a risk of competition. We are the, you know, not necessarily the new kid on the block, but our style of how we compensate salespeople, for example, who we brought to the table and the way that our platform enrolls people so quickly and easily is very enticing for the field enrollment agents. And keep in mind those field enrollment agents, keeping them happy is really how you grow your subscriber number because they're going to be constantly pelted with solicitations from other companies. So incentivizing them, doing them right. A few things that we've learned over the years of really taking care of our distributors in the field is really how we've grown it this fast. And you know, look, everybody kind of wants to be a part of the new thing, exciting thing, and that's what we are right now. But there's definitely other companies out there. There's companies who've been doing this for a long time. I think right now we're, while we don't pay as much commission, we are hands on. And a lot of the things we do, you know, we definitely utilize our team in El Salvador. You know, for those of you that Remember we have 125 specialists down there who assist in onboarding. And one of the other components that's a differentiator for us is we own our own platform so that that enrollment platform that a field agent is using, that's our platform. We don't have to put in special requests and beg for a third party and then hope somebody around the world gets around to doing the development for us. I'll give you a little example on that. One of the delays was really frustrating in Q2 because we kept having these little pilly delays that kept us from full rollout. Well, one of them was one of the states that we were really heavy in wanted a the pictures where you upload a picture to show proof of id. They wanted it to be under a certain megabyte. Well, one of the problems with devices now is they take better, nicer pictures, which means a whole lot more megabytes. So it's impossible to ask a field rep to, oh, hey, take this, come up with your own way to cut it down and compress it so that it's acceptable to the regulatory approval compliance folks. So we had to take two and a half weeks and develop a system in our software that would compress pictures. So things like that, us being able to prioritize and us being able to facilitate things and then also show our sales reps, hey, you asked, we took care of it. Boom, let's go. What else can we do to help you guys do better? Make you more efficient, to help you be more compliant, to help you get more sales. So that's really what is the niche that we see and that we have in the market, maybe compared to some of our other competitors. Great. Thanks for answering my questions and I wish you guys good luck. Thank you. Thank you, Ed.

OPERATOR - (00:35:16)

Thank you. There are no further questions in queue at this time. And this does conclude today's question and answer session. At this time, I'd like to pass the floor back to management for closing remarks. And we do. Thank you. This does conclude today's conference call. You may disconnect at this time and have a wonderful day. Thank you once again for your participation.

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