AMN Healthcare Services reports Q3 revenue of $634 million and raises Q4 guidance amid improved staffing demand and strategic positioning for growth.
In this transcript
Summary
- AMN Healthcare Services reported third-quarter revenue of $634 million, exceeding guidance by $9 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $57.5 million, 90 basis points above guidance.
- The company observed a moderate recovery in staffing demand and expects fourth-quarter revenue of over $720 million, with labor disruption revenue contributing significantly.
- Strategically, AMN Healthcare Services is focusing on expanding its Total Talent Solutions platform, improving client retention, and enhancing technology to increase fill rates.
- Management highlighted that bill rates for nurse and allied staffing are anticipated to rise modestly for the first time in three years, reflecting a shift in client demand for more flexible workforce strategies.
- The company completed a debt refinancing to extend debt maturities and improve financial flexibility, positioning it well for future growth.
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OPERATOR - (00:00:31)
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AMN Healthcare third quarter 2025 earnings call. @ this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Randy Reese, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Randy Reese - Vice President, Investor Relations - (00:01:12)
Good afternoon everyone. Welcome to AMN Healthcare's third quarter 2025 earnings call. A replay of this webcast will be available at ir.amnhealthcare.com at the conclusion of this call. Remarks we make during this call about future expectations, projections, trends, plans, events or circumstances constitute forward looking statements. These statements reflect the Company's current beliefs based upon information currently available to it. Our actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward looking statements because of various factors and cautionary statements, including those identified in our most recently filed Forms 10K and 10Q, our earnings release and subsequent filings with the SEC. The company does not intend to update guidance or any forward looking statements provided today prior to its next earnings release. This call contains certain non GAAP financial information. Information regarding and reconciliations of these non GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release and on our Financial reports page@ir.amnhealthcare.com on the call with me today are Cary Grace, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Brian Scott, Chief Financial and Operating Officer. I will now turn the call over to Cary.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:02:47)
Thank you Randy and welcome to today's conference call. Since our last call, AMN has continued to adapt to changes in the marketplace and position the company to win as our industry transitions from recovery to growth. Third quarter revenue of $634 million was $9 million above the high end of our guidance range. Consolidated gross margin was near the upper end of guidance and SG&A expenses were better than expected. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $57.5 million, which was 9.1% of revenue, 90 basis points above the high end of our guidance range. After experiencing demand softness in the second quarter, staffing demand recovered moderately in the third quarter, extension rates rebounded, and travel nurse winter orders came in slightly favorable compared to the prior year. At the same time, permanent hiring activity in the health care sector fell notably in the third quarter. According to a private survey of job openings. The different directions of contingent and permanent recruiting suggest that employers are beginning to seek more flexibility in their workforce strategies to meet increasing patient utilization. This is an increasingly attractive strategy as we estimate that the spread between travel nurse bill rates and fully loaded permanent nurse compensation is at a historical low. Bill rates maintained stability through the last nine months, and there are a few indications suggesting that some clients are reconsidering a bill rate strategy in which rates have not kept up with increased costs. In fact, we expect bill rates for nurse and allied staffing to be up modestly year over year in the fourth quarter for the first time in three years. Our consolidated outlook for the fourth quarter calls for revenue a little better than $720 million at the midpoint, or just over 620 million excluding labor disruption revenue. Our guidance includes about 5 million extra SG&A expenses in Q4 related to labor disruption support. While conditions for individual business lines vary, we benefit from the diversification among our 20 solutions which keep us well positioned to serve clients, evolving needs and desire for strategic partners over the long run. All three business segments beat consensus revenue estimates in the third quarter, led by 12 million upside in Nurse and Allied Solutions. Part of the nurse and Allied beat came from higher than expected labor disruption revenue as projected. Lower Q2 demand and extensions flowed through to lower Q3 revenue, though less than we expected as new demand and extension offers improved in the quarter. Our team executed well to capture this demand and set us up for higher travel nurse and allied revenue in Q4. Demand improved modestly through the third quarter into October, including higher winter orders. For the fourth quarter. We expect about $100 million in labor disruption revenue. Total nurse and allied revenue will be up low single digits year over year or down approximately 6 to 8% excluding labor disruption. This will be our best year over year revenue comparison for the segment in three years. In our Physician and Leadership Solutions segment, revenue grew 2% sequentially in locum tenant and interim leadership. While search revenue was stable, we were pleased to record 3% year over year growth in locum tenens revenue. The highlight in Locum was days booked for MSP clients which grew by 15% year over year, including a nice boost from new client wins. For the fourth quarter. Physician and Leadership Solutions revenue is projected to be down sequentially by approximately 6% due primarily to seasonally lower locum volume. For our Technology and Workforce Solutions segment, third quarter revenue was 7 million lower than the prior quarter. Most of that drop came from the sale of our SmartSquare business on July 1st Vendor Management System (VMS) revenue was 2 million lower and Language Services revenue less than 1 million lower. In the fourth quarter, we expect Technology and Workforce Solutions revenue to be down mid single digits compared with the third quarter with seasonally lower language services minutes and the lingering runoff from previously discussed client transitions in our Vendor Management System (VMS) and language services businesses. I want to touch on the subject of gross margins. Our consolidated gross margin has declined this year caused by an unfavorable revenue mix shift and competitive pressures in staffing and language services. As nurse and ally demand moves from stability to growth, we expect staffing gross margins to stabilize. We expect improvement in international staffing revenue and other high margin services to lift our consolidated gross margin in 2026 in a normal demand recovery. We also would expect to see travelers average hours worked increase and placement mix improve, both of which would create margin growth opportunity. AMN has differentiated itself in many ways this year including from a financial perspective. At the end of the third quarter we had a zero balance on our revolving line of credit down from 210 million at the end of 2024. In early October we completed a debt refinancing transaction that strengthened our financial position and improved our corporate debt rating. Our earliest debt expiration was extended out to 2029, our revolver was downsized to reduce carrying costs and its debt leverage covenant increased to give us more operating flexibility. The next phase of our strategy to gain market share is in view as we see an increasing number of prospects seeking more complete talent solutions. Our performance on client retention remains strong year to date and our latest net promoter scores were significantly improved from last year. Our aggressive plan to improve technology processes and customer focus paid off with a 700 basis point year over year improvement in client satisfaction. We continue to expand our number of service lines provided to clients and we see interest from a number of strategic clients in consolidating their decentralized locum spend. We are also making progress on our strategy to fill more of the available demands by improving our speed to fill. For example, over the past 12 months we doubled our fill rate in our vendor neutral program. Overall competition for new clients and renewals has seen less motivation from clients to switch vendors as they prioritize other initiatives. However, we remain confident that our client first approach and industry leading spectrum of talent solutions will win over the coming quarters and years. Now I will turn over the call to Brian to give more details on our latest financial results and business outlook.
Brian Scott - Chief Financial and Operating Officer - (00:10:58)
Thank you Carrie and Good afternoon everyone. Third quarter consolidated revenue was $634 million above the high end of our guidance range driven by outperformance in our nurse and allied and physician and leadership segments, revenue was down 8% from the prior year and down 4% sequentially. Consolidated gross margin for the third quarter was 29.1% at the high end of our guidance range, gross margin declined 190 basis points year over year and 70 basis points sequentially. Consolidated SGA expenses were 139 million, compared with $150 million in the prior year and $155 million in the previous quarter. Adjusted SGA, which excludes certain expenses, was $129 million in the third quarter compared with $141 million in the prior year and $140 million in the previous quarter. The sequential decrease in adjusted SG&A is primarily attributable to a lower bad debt expense and an unfavorable prior quarter professional liability reserve adjustment. Third quarter Nurse and Allied revenue was $361 million, down 9% from the prior year, though exceeding the high end of our guidance range driven by higher than expected travel nurse volume and $12 million of labor disruption revenue. Sequentially, segment revenue was down 5% primarily due to lower volume year over year. Nurse and allied segment volume decreased 11% and average rate and average hours worked were flat. Sequentially, volume was down 6% while the average rate was down 1% and hours worked were flat. Travel nurse revenue in the third quarter was $196 million, a decrease of 20% from the prior year period and 6% from the prior quarter. Allied revenue in the quarter was 142 million, up 1% year over year and down 2% sequentially. Nurse and Allied gross margin in the third quarter was 24.1%, a decrease of 90 basis points year over year. Sequentially, gross margin was up 20 basis points. We noted in the earnings release that Our lower consolidated Q4 gross margin guidance is partly influenced by labor disruption related factors due in part to timing of activities. Labor disruption benefited the nurse and allied segment gross margin in Q3 by about 150 basis points with a nominal drag to the segment Gross margin in Q4. We expect the fourth quarter Nurse and allied segment gross margin to be approximately 21%, with the lower sequential outlook also being driven by seasonally lower average hours worked and a modest decline in spreads. Moving to the Physician and leadership solutions segment, third quarter revenue of $178 million was down 1% year over year. Sequentially revenue was up 2%, mainly driven by Locum Tenens performance. Locum Tenens revenue in the quarter was 146 million, up 3% year over year and 2% sequentially. Interim leadership revenue of $23 million decreased 20% from the prior year period but was up 2% sequentially. Search revenue of 9 million was down 7% year over year and flat sequentially. Gross margin for the Physician and Leadership solutions segment was 27.2%, down 110 basis points year over year, attributable to a lower bill pay spread in locum tenens and an unfavorable revenue mix shift sequentially. Gross margin decreased 100 basis points and we expect Q4 segment gross margin to remain consistent with Q3. Technology and Workforce Solutions revenue for the third quarter was 95 million, down 12% year over year and 7% sequentially, primarily driven by lower VMS revenue and the sale of SmartSquare language services. Revenue for the quarter was 75 million flat year over year and down 1% sequentially. VMS revenue for the quarter was 17 million, a decrease of 32% year over year and 11% sequentially. Segment gross margin was 51.5%, down 640 basis points from the prior year period due primarily to a lower revenue mix from BMS, the sale of SmartSquare and lower margin in language services. Sequentially Gross margin declined 360 basis points driven by the same factors. We anticipate segment gross margin stepping down by about 100 basis points in the fourth quarter with lower expected VMS revenue along with pricing pressure in language services. Consolidated operating income of $48 million included a $39 million gain on the sale of SmartSqu. Third quarter consolidated adjusted EBITDA was 58 million, down 22% year over year and 1% sequentially. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 9.1%, down 160 basis points from the prior year period and up 20 basis points sequentially. Third quarter net income was 29 million. This compared with net income of 7 million in the prior year period and a net loss of 116 million the prior quarter, which included non cash goodwill and tangible asset impairment charges. Third quarter GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.76. Adjusted earnings per share for the quarter was $0.39 compared with $0.61 in the prior year period and $0.30 in the prior quarter days. Sales outstanding for the quarter were 57 days, which was three days lower than a year ago and three days higher sequentially. Operating cash flow for the third quarter was $23 million and capital expenditures were $8 million as of September 30th we had cash equivalents of $53 million and total debt of $850 million. We ended the quarter with a net leverage ratio of 3.3 times to 1. In October, we completed the refinancing of $500 million of unsecured notes due in 2027 with $400 million of new unsecured notes due in 2031. Concurrently, we downsized our revolver capacity to $450 million and increased our maximum leverage ratio covenant. These transactions immediately increased our balance sheet resilience. Moving to fourth quarter guidance, we project consolidated revenue to be in a range of 715 to $730 million. This revenue guidance includes approximately $100 million related to labor disruption support. Gross margin is projected to be between 25.5 and 26%. Excluding the impact of labor disruption revenue, our gross margin would be higher by about 100 basis points. Reported SGA expenses are projected to be approximately 20 to 20.5% of revenue and include about 5 million of additional costs in the quarter to support labor disruption activity. Operating margin is expected to be 0.2% to 0.8% and adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be 6.8% to 7.3%. Additional fourth quarter guidance details can be found in today's earnings release. Now Operator, please open up the call for questions.
OPERATOR - (00:18:16)
Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile the Q and A roster. And our first question comes from Trevor Romeo of William Blair. Your line is open.
Trevor Romeo - Equity Analyst - (00:18:40)
Hi, good afternoon. Thanks so much for taking the questions. First one I had kind of a might be a multi part question on the margin guidance just because I know there are a lot of moving pieces here. So maybe just starting with the gross margins. I think you're 29% in Q3, 100 basis points of unfavorable from the labor disruption in Q4. But I think even if you add that back, it's like a 240250 basis point drop sequentially in gross margin. So could you help us think about I guess the individual drivers of that on the consolidated and the magnitude of each one? Sure. Yeah. Trevor, this is Brian. No problem. Yeah, so what I'd start with also on the third quarter that the 29% just for the labor disruption event that we supported some of the time activities we actually got a benefit to some degree to the margin in the third quarter as well, so that 29%, think of that closer to 28% if you're to normalize the third quarter as well. And then we tried to give enough color on the fourth quarter on the guy that if you were to kind of remove the impact as well, you're closer to 27% in the, you know, high 26s if you take the midpoint of our range and at 100 basis points. So you're talking about a little over 100 basis points change sequentially from Q3 to Q4 to kind of remove that from the, from the equation. And there's a couple of factors driving that. One is just revenue mix between the segments. You have a. If you look at the guidance we gave, you've got some decline in both our physician and leadership and technology workforce solutions segments, both of which have a higher margin profile. So probably the main things that are driving that and then to a lesser degree, you have some impact from just seasonality. We mentioned even a nurse and allied where usually a little bit lower hours worked. And that has a bit of a drag on the margin. The fourth quarter and kind of the last thing, because you said there's multiple parts here, the third quarter we did get a little bit of a benefit as well from some favorability on sales reserves in nurse and allied. And so that's why you're seeing that larger change from quarter to quarter in the margins. Okay, Brian, that's helpful. Thank you. If I could maybe follow up on I guess the EBITDA margin guidance. I think just if we're trying to isolate maybe the X, the big labor disruption event, just what's the underlying performance of the business? I guess if I just take the midpoint of your guidance there, I think I get about 50, 51 million of EBITDA. But you obviously have that big labor disruption event in there. So if we're trying to use that as kind of a guide for modeling going forward, maybe you could just help us think about what the underlying EBITDA would look like and how that could evolve going forward. Sure, yeah. You said we try to give enough of the components there, the margin that you said there was a large amount of revenue obviously in the guide from the, from that event. And that did have a larger, I mean, a lower, slightly lower margin profile to it. When you have something of that magnitude, there's a fair amount of what we're billing for that are really just pass through costs for things like transportation. And so that impacts the margin profile when it's of that magnitude. And just some of the timing again is between the third and the fourth quarter. But I think you could probably think about the X that amount. We're in the mid sixes EBITDA margin range for the guide. If you were to move the impact of the labor disruption in the quarter. Okay, thanks again, that's helpful. And then maybe if I could just do one more if you don't mind. I guess encouraging definitely to hear about sequential volume growth into Q4. So I guess my question there is you did talk about winter orders being up, I think modestly versus last year. I guess do you get the sense that this is more of a winter phenomenon or would you kind of chalk up the sequential volume growth to some kind of underlying improvement in demand and maybe a shift in the contingent versus permanent staff that I think Kerry alluded to in the comments.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:22:49)
Yeah, so Trevor, we're really looking at it as being both. And so if I kind of give you the shape of demand since our last call. So we talked about in the second quarter, we saw a pause in some decision making as people really trying to digest potential policy changes if I take travel nurse. So the low point in demand was mid May. And fast forward to now, we're up about 50% in demand from that low point. We're still a little bit off year over year from where we were last year. But you've seen consistent growth since that low point in May in travel nurse. In allied demand, we're now flat year over year. And in locums we've seen growth in locums Q2 to Q3. We're still mid single digit down year over year. But what we're seeing, and certainly we had healthy winter orders come in, but we're seeing demand improvement broader than just winter orders. And really that combination is what's driving what you're seeing Q3 to Q4. And if we even strip out some seasonality piece, we're seeing a good growth.
Trevor Romeo - Equity Analyst - (00:24:04)
In the fourth quarter. Okay, that's encouraging. Thanks Kerry. Thanks, Brian.
OPERATOR - (00:24:10)
Thank you. And our next question comes from Kevin Fischback of Bank of America. Your line is open.
Kevin Fischback - Equity Analyst - (00:24:21)
Great, thanks. Maybe just to go back to the gross margin discussion, I guess in Q4 3 it looked like all the businesses had year over year gross margin compression. Can you just talk a little bit about the outlook for gross margins for next year across the businesses? It sounds like you think that the demand firming and nursing allied is going to provide some stability there. But I guess it wasn't clear to me exactly what you were thinking about the other Two businesses.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:24:54)
Yeah. Let me maybe pick up on some themes that we see going into next year. And I know we don't give guidance, but I'll give you some transparency about what we see first, and this has been a negative impact for us the past two plus years is we expect to see more favorable revenue mix that will be coming from International Nurse, which we already have seen enough from a visa retrogression this year to have some transparency about those placements next year. We expect International Nurse to be up from a revenue standpoint, 20 plus percent. And that's a higher margin business. VMS. We've had a tailwind in VMS predominantly from our Medifis Marketplace platform of clients going off. And so we would expect as we get into 2023 for VMS to turn positive. And that has been a headwind for us. And then we also are seeing healthy demand increases from our leadership and search businesses. And those are the higher margin businesses, both in PLs and they're accretive to margin from a consolidated standpoint. So Kevin, first is we're seeing more tailwinds around some of our higher margin businesses as we leave this year and go into 2026. We've also been very focused on filling especially where we have more direct access to demand. So think MSPs, our own VMS platform and direct accounts. I mentioned this in my opening remarks. Year over year, we've doubled our internal capture on our own VMS. So we'll continue to focus on that. And then we're starting to see with some clients some movement in bill rates. That's really from an industry standpoint, one of the things we'll be looking for as we get into 2026 is more consistent improvement of bill rates, which would obviously have a strong impact on margins.
Kevin Fischback - Equity Analyst - (00:26:57)
Okay, great. And the VMS improvement that you expect next year, is that tied or I guess when I think about VMS, I kind of think about it more tied broadly to nurse demand. Is that happening because you expect nurse and allied demand to grow and therefore VMS will grow along with that, or are you seeing.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:27:18)
We're not necessarily assuming strong underlying growth. We just have had post Covid some clients who had gone on to this marketplace VMS coming off of it and that process had a fairly long tail on it that we are at the very end of. And we've also layered in some wins that we've had this year. So the combination of those two things will help us get back to growth on our VMS business in 2026.
Kevin Fischback - Equity Analyst - (00:27:53)
Okay, I guess maybe you can just talk a little bit about the competitive dynamic. I guess in the past you noted that there's been some players who were kind of aggressive. How do you feel broadly about the competitive backdrop right now?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:28:07)
The markets remain competitive and we're seeing that both in terms of what we see for clients and in our overall pipeline, as well as just competition to fill open orders. But we're not seeing competitors be irrational. And so if orders aren't priced at market, you're seeing them stay open. So while we're seeing a competitive environment, we also see rationality in that environment. And we feel like the market is really favoring Total Talent Solutions platforms. And so that is a message that's resounding in the marketplace of looking and saying, I'm not coming in just to fill on one type of solution, but I'm coming in and I'm helping you build a sustainable workforce solution. And so we feel like our platform is, is very well positioned as the market goes into that next phase.
Kevin Fischback - Equity Analyst - (00:29:14)
Okay, great, thanks.
OPERATOR - (00:29:16)
Thank you. And our next question comes from Toby Sommer of Truist. Your line is open.
Toby Sommer - Equity Analyst - (00:29:28)
Thanks. I want to ask something just kind of out in the future here. Federal healthcare funding cuts such as Medicaid, and there are more, a decent list of them. Do you see customers having higher or lower demand for contingent labor because these changes kind of get feathered in over time independent of the shutdown outcome?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:29:57)
Yeah, you know, you're going to see some variance among systems about both where they are overall financially and kind of where they are in workforce in general. But the two themes that I'd say are predominant across all of our clients is they are focused on revenue growth and they're simultaneously very focused on cost containment. So the more prevalent sentiment that we hear is pretty consistent with what you've heard from some of the public company health systems who have reported over the past couple weeks, which is they're still expecting to have low single digit increases in patient utilization. They're focused on how do we ensure that we're able to meet those demands, but also do it from a workforce standpoint in an affordable way, knowing that labor has been increasing higher than reimbursement rates. So there is a lot of focus on sustainability of solutions, which gets a little bit back to my point around Total Talent solutions platform. And the other piece, Toby, that's really more recent, we actually heard this at a healthcare conference this week, is there's growing recognition about the affordability of contingent labor relative to permanent labor, and particularly by finance executives. So if you look at where we are on a premium of contingent labor to fully loaded permanent costs, you're under 10%. And so when you look at this past quarter, permanent hiring in healthcare was down the most we've seen in several years. You've also seen this increase in demand since the second quarter for contingent and a growing recognition about the affordability of contingent and the role it can play in creating a flexible workforce.
Toby Sommer - Equity Analyst - (00:31:56)
Well, having finance professionals be advocates would be a reversal and probably just what the doctor ordered, so to speak, within Nurse and Allied. Could you talk about from a bill rate, pay rate and spread perspective, do you think bill rates can rise enough so that you can pass on at least the elements that seem to be empirically with a decent amount of inflation? I'm thinking of per diem's and housing specifically.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:32:27)
I think we have been talking about stabilization of bill rates for some time period. And as I mentioned for Nurse and Allied, we're going to see in the fourth quarter a very slight increase in bill rates for the first time in three years. We need to see that more consistently. Toby, so you just look at it from an underlying labor cost standpoint. You really do need to as an industry get to increasing bill rates. We're seeing clients who've had open orders out there for some time period that aren't priced to market. We saw that even today a client changed some bill rates. So we are starting to see that gradually happen. You just need to see it more consistently as we get into 2026.
Brian Scott - Chief Financial and Operating Officer - (00:33:14)
Yeah, I'd just add, I think for the more near term the rate increases that we think are needed are really to be more attractive when you look at what the compensation packages need to be just to entice a nurse to take an assignment. So we're not necessarily focused on using that as a way to expand margins near term. That's really about how do we drive more volume. When you have clients that have open orders sitting there for a period of time, they're recognizing that they probably, you know, they pressure tested rates long enough to know that they're not going to get filled. And if they have that need, particularly as they're maybe not doing as much permanent hiring or looking at that cost equation. So we're, I think we're more excited about these potential rate increases being utilized to fill more orders that will allow us to drive more volume. We'll get operating leverage on that. We've got, you know, this business can support a larger amount of volume that we, that we have today. And we'll gain a lot of operating leverage on that. So that's kind of goal number one for us. The other thing that will typically follow that, as Kerry mentioned earlier, is if there is that greater need and urgency to get the orders filled, we'll also continue to educate on utilizing the travelers they have on assignment more. And so as you see the average hours increase, that's where you start to see some of that pull through that you're talking about because some of those costs like per diems are more fixed in nature and that will allow kind of a win for both sides. The client already has people on the ground that can do more work for them and that has some margin benefit for us as well.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:34:44)
And Toby, what I would say is if you think about this from a market standpoint, we see we don't have a problem with supply if you have an order that is priced right. And so that is going to be the factor that we will continue to be monitoring around clients. Not only the demand increasing, but are you seeing a recognition of places where if you need to get the order filled, you increase fill rates?
Toby Sommer - Equity Analyst - (00:35:18)
Thanks. I'm going to sneak in one last one if I could. Your only public competitor is due to potentially be acquired here in the next month. Is that a good thing or a bad thing for AMN and the industry? If that goes through or does not.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:35:36)
It doesn't change our strategy or what we're going to do. So we do think in the intermediate and long term this industry needs to consolidate. So I think that is a direction that we think will happen for this particular deal. It doesn't change what we would do in 2026 or strategy.
Toby Sommer - Equity Analyst - (00:36:04)
Thank you.
OPERATOR - (00:36:06)
Thank you. Our next question comes from A.J. rice of UBS. Your line is open.
A.J. Rice - Equity Analyst - (00:36:16)
Thanks. Hi everybody. Can you just maybe give us some update on what you're seeing on the clinician side? The supply clinicians re upping for additional assignments, new people applying, et cetera. Can you give us any flavor for how you're seeing that developed and expectations around rate increases that need to get to get people to incremental people to sign up for travel assignments?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:36:47)
Yeah, overall we are still seeing a healthy supply. Now in certain locations or certain specialties, you may be more constrained. I'd say overall in locum you see more supply challenges than you do in nurse and allied. More broadly, what we are seeing is if an order is priced right, then we can fill that order. And so that is the dynamic that we've been spending a lot of time with clients on is, you know, A.J. how do we get them to a point where we can actually fill that order?
Brian Scott - Chief Financial and Operating Officer - (00:37:30)
Yeah, I mean we're investments we're making in our, you know, in past, what we've talked about in previous calls, the ability to engage with clinicians more directly, get, get opportunities in front of them with more speed and more frequent touch points. We think that's, we're going to continue to make more differentiation so that we can attract more supply to amn and then for those orders that have rates, you know, we'll get them filled. But you know, we have a lot of, we put a lot of work around. How do we experience so that we are thought of as the employer of choice and we've had some really good success in the investments we've made there.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:38:10)
AJ so as an example, we have something called pre check where we can outline the type of role that's going to be interesting to you that we can automatically fill and we can get a sense from different clinicians about what type of pay package they would need to be able to take jobs. So we're getting even better at predictive analytics to be able to help our clients understand where supply is, what their expectations are. And that combined with a lot of data that we have and we put on our workwise platform around going market rates, we think that's going to become increasingly helpful to them in 2026 to be able to get the type of contingent staff that they need.
A.J. Rice - Equity Analyst - (00:38:59)
Interesting. When you think about the allied business or maybe even locums, I know there's different specialties that come and go in demand. Are you seeing any changes in the demand, underlying demand for certain types of clinicians in either of those categories or easing of demand for people in any of those categories?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:39:26)
So for locum, if you look year over year, eight of our 10 specialties grew. So there was broad based demand. Locum across the specialties. If you looked at it more recently, the specialty demand really was driven at a higher level by surgery, hospitalist, dentistry and anesthesia. So locums were seeing broad based demand. I'd say the four that I just mentioned were seeing strong demand, particularly over the past quarter. From an allied standpoint, therapy and imaging were the top. And I would also say because in our allied business we have a schools business that grew very healthy this year and we would expect that to continue into 2026.
A.J. Rice - Equity Analyst - (00:40:21)
And maybe just a final question on new business opportunities. Are you seeing more opportunities? There's turnover in MSPs, are you seeing more opportunities in just traditional non MSP clients? Any way to characterize where the new business opportunities are concentrated?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:40:43)
Yeah, so a couple of things. One, if you look at our pipeline, our pipeline actually grew very nicely quarter over quarter underneath it between MSP and vms. There is a bias towards MSP in the pipeline. We had been trending post Covid where the pipeline had a bias towards VMs. Now both grew quarter over quarter, but we do see a bias in msp. The other two themes that we see from a sales standpoint is we have momentum and extensions. And so that has been a focus for us to do more with our current clients. And so we are seeing momentum in expansions with clients. A focus has been on how we put locums in there, language services. And then I'd say the last theme that we're seeing from a sales standpoint is if we lose in a pipeline, we are increasingly losing to the incumbent and to inertia. And so again, we think we have a differentiated platform around Total Talent Solutions as we go into 2026 that we'll be able to combat some of that.
A.J. Rice - Equity Analyst - (00:41:59)
Okay, great. Thanks so much.
OPERATOR - (00:42:02)
Thank you. And our next question comes from Mark Marcon of Robert W. Baird. Your line is open.
Mark Marcon - Equity Analyst - (00:42:13)
Good afternoon and thanks for taking my questions, Carrie. Brian, you mentioned, you know that if orders are priced right, we can get the clinicians. When you talked about the orders trending up, are you talking about only the orders that you would consider to be priced right or is that inclusive of orders that potentially aren't really fillable?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:42:45)
It's inclusive of all orders. But what I would say underneath that is if we look at more kind of aged open orders, there's been a very slight uptick, but not meaningfully.
Brian Scott - Chief Financial and Operating Officer - (00:42:58)
Yeah. And as we talked about the trend the last few months, Mark, so the winter order needs more of those are typically priced at the raping field. And that's why you saw that the third quarter, although we saw a sequential decline as we expected, we beat the guidance we gave. And it's as you started getting more of those orders in, the team did a great job of filling them quickly and some of that and even in the extension rates when they came back, we're able to keep more on assignment. So that impacts the third quarter. But even more so the sequential increase that we're going to see in the fourth quarter is driven by that. And then for those other ones, some of these orders that have lower rates, it's not that none of them get filled, it's just that a much lower percentage. So as they're posting those, the team will work, but the fill rates and the time to fill is lower overall. And so Kerry mentioned we had a client today that on some of those orders have been sitting there, they increased the rate because they're recognizing they need to get them filled. And so that's taking existing order and getting a better rate where the team will be able to act on it immediately and get the majority of those filled as well. So when we look at order trends, we've always kind of included everything. But as that mix changes towards more of them having rates that are priced appropriately, we know we can convert more of them to placements. Great, that's encouraging. And then can you talk a little bit more about what you're seeing in terms of demand trends out of rural hospitals and particularly the ones that have been impacted by Medicaid cuts? You know, we're starting to hear a little bit about how some of those facilities might be trending more towards travel nursing to an even greater extent than they already did, partially because, you know, if they, if they're uncertain, you know, about their financial outlook, they'd rather turn to the travelers. Is that true? Does that resonate? What are you seeing from that perspective?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:45:00)
We haven't seen any discernible trends or differences in rural hospitals. What I will say that has existed for some time is international nurses are typically a very good solution, broadly speaking, for a number of health systems. But in particular for rural systems. It's attractive for the clinician coming over and bringing their family over. It's a very cost effective way for these systems to be able to put in a longer term clinician in there. So the international dimension is typically marginally more important to rural hospitals than you would see elsewhere. But we haven't seen any real noticeable difference in rural hospitals versus others.
Brian Scott - Chief Financial and Operating Officer - (00:45:56)
But I think that decision making, that is what we're seeing as you've got more CFOs and finance folks involved in some of the buying decisions, is that there is uncertainty and so wanting that flexibility as they pull back on some of their permanent hiring and recognizing that the incremental cost for bringing in contract labor is about as low as it's ever been. And so I think that not only in their rural areas, maybe they don't have access otherwise or they want that flexibility. That same type of dynamic we're seeing with certain clients in different settings as well. Great. And then in terms of normal seasonality, if we strip out the labor disruption revenue from the fourth quarter, how should we think about the normal seasonality in terms of Q4 and Q1 typically we see the winter order staying through Q1 but wondering if there's anything that would change that dynamic this year. No, I don't think anything that would change that dynamic. Those assignments, some of them do carry into the first quarter, so it wouldn't be unreasonable to expect that we'd see some nominal growth from Q4 to Q1 in nursing. We still have work to do to fill in that quarter, but with the demand trends, especially as we saw more of a decline during the third quarter and then as that's picked up through the fourth quarter, that should carry through into the first quarter as well. We'll also, as Karen mentioned, that we've had a real strong year with schools business, so that should be that will carry through into the first quarter for Allied as well. And then seasonally we're lower in our Locums business and even search and enter to some degree. And so as that bounces back in the first quarter as well, that will be sequential growth is what we've seen historically and would expect to see this year as well. Great. Thank you.
Mark Marcon - Equity Analyst - (00:47:58)
Thank you. And our next question comes from Constantine devitas of Citizens. Your line is open.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:48:08)
Kerry, in your prepared remarks you highlighted the Locum Days book strength for your MSP clients. Can you expand upon exactly what you're doing to better leverage your MSP relationships for Locum, starting with what transpired in the third quarter and then I guess as a follow up to that, is there a structural reason why the percentage of revenue from MSPs for locums has kind of stayed pretty steady in the high teens level versus what you see typically in nurse and allied? Yeah. So a couple things about what we're doing in locums. One is we have made very intentional moves over the past 18 months to structurally be able to support our locums MSPs. That includes in our Shiftwise Flex platform having capabilities that we rolled out at the end of last year to extend what we had done for Nurse and Allied into Locums. We also added our Locums clinicians onto Passport earlier this year so we have more AMN platform integration of our Locums business into core technology that we have built to support our Nurse and Ally business. Second is we have been proactively selling to our current clients Locum's capabilities in a number of cases. One of the trends that you're seeing broadly is a desire particularly for regional national systems to centralize pretty decentralized locum spend. Oftentimes that will happen with the same Program leaders that lead nurse and allied. So we've been doing those two things. And then the third very important piece is that if you look at year over year, our fill rates in locums, you have seen one of the biggest increases of our fill rates in our MSPs. So we're not only prioritizing, continuing to expand our locums MSP clients and the platform that we have underneath it, but we have a world class locums MSP team that has increased our fill rate on those platforms year over year.
Constantine Devitas - Equity Analyst - (00:50:37)
Thanks for the color there. And then just a few moving pieces with labor disruption in the third quarter and fourth quarter, but overall a pretty strong year for that part of your business. And as you look ahead to 2026, and I know forecasting this activity is probably an imprecise science, but at a high level, how's 2026 shaping up from a collective bargaining standpoint across the client base?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:51:03)
Yeah. So a couple things. If you just look at statistically across what has happened in collective bargaining agreements, broadly, you are seeing more strikes than you had seen historically. So that is one trend that we follow. We have a healthy pipeline of strikes that our clients have asked us to engage in over the next 12 months. Our strike solution set is a very important one for clients that have unionized populations and we only support strikes of our clients. But we are seeing continued strong activity there. And so we would expect our strike business to continue to be active over the next 12 months.
Constantine Devitas - Equity Analyst - (00:52:01)
Great. And then if I could just sneak one last one in the language services part of the business, can you just expand a little bit on the sort of the demand there, the level of price compression you're seeing and I guess just your longer term thoughts on the business, just given how quickly technology in that area seems to be evolving. Thanks.
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:52:23)
Let me start first on the long term. This business is really important to us, not just in terms of what it can do to support our clients and to support them in providing really strong patient care. It's incredibly important around access. So this is a business that we like. We have seen growth moderate throughout the year that has coincided as others in the industry have seen as well with tougher immigration policies. And so a bit of what you've seen, Constantine, in the second quarter, and you saw it again this quarter, is if you've seen some modest growth in minutes, you've seen that offset by pricing pressure. And so we saw that this quarter we would expect to see that again next quarter. We do expect there's some changes that we're going to make to our operating model in terms of that will improve our cost to serve that. We would expect you to start seeing the benefit of that in 2026. But we do think that growth will be more modest than you may have seen 18 months ago. But we still think that this is a growth business and that we are well positioned to be able to win in it. Thank you. And our next question comes from Jack Slevin of Jefferies. Your line is open.
Jack Slevin - Equity Analyst - (00:53:56)
Hey, thanks for taking the question. I'm going to apologize in advance, but I want to go back over some of the strike margin stuff. So if you'll just bear with me what I'm getting at the basis point gross margin impact that you called out in the 5 million of G and A. But Brian, I thought I also heard a mid sixes comment on EBITDA margin X strike. So on my math it's a little, it's a little below 6. If you plug those other two pieces, I just want to make sure I heard that commentary right. And then the second piece of the question on that front, I think I heard some commentary that maybe made it sound like the labor disruption Trends ultimately benefited 3Q based on some of the stuff that's happening now. Did I hear that correctly or you know, just trying to understand on the strike front sort of how to take the balance and I'll take those in reverse order. So yes, you did her so here that the just by some of the way the services were rolled out for the event, we got a margin benefit in the third quarter. So you know, call it somewhere to the range of 100 basis points gross margin on the consolidated and for Q3 and then for Q4 we kind of called out because we have this large amount of revenue in Nurse and Allied, which has a lower margin profile that that dragged the consolidated margin down in our guidance. And so if you were to add that back and even maybe just take like a small amount of like normal, like what we say kind of normalized, you'd end up somewhere closer to 27%. So 29 becomes 28 and then the guide we give, you know, with that adjustment is more like 27. So there's about 100 basis points change in the margin from Q3 to Q4 on that adjusted basis. Does that help? Yeah, I think that's helped. Yeah. No, no, I appreciate it. The other you did hear correct. I was going to say if you were to take our guidance for revenue and remove all or most of the that strike revenue number we gave that you should be able to take the inputs we gave and you'd end up somewhere in the kind of mid sixes range for adjusted EBITDA margin in the quarter. Okay, got it. That's really helpful. And then second one on this front, I mean I think what it sounds like to me, I'm hearing a lot of things that might trend positively when you talk about VMs return on international, the schools points you brought up and then just overall having a bill rate environment that has been pretty stable to now, possibly trending up into 26. If you look at the X strike margins in 4Q and appreciating there's a little bit of seasonality there. But if you look at the X strike margins in 4Q, is that a decent way to think about a floor on where margins can go going forward or can you just help me piece together sort of how we go from that margin level forward? Thanks. Yeah, yeah. The short answer is yes, we look at that as probably a floor. Again, if you take, if you take it somewhere in the, if you took the guidance we gave and again at the 100 basis points you'd be looking at 26.5 to 27. And again if you assume though some normalized amount of labor activity, you're somewhere in that 27% range and that I think is a reasonable floor. And then you can kind of build from the components that Kerry mentioned earlier in terms of the opportunities we see heading into 26, some of which we have clear line of sight to, like with the volume increase we expect to see in international starting in Q1 and others that we'll be aggressively working through during the year. Got it. Okay, super helpful. Appreciate all the color.
OPERATOR - (00:57:40)
Thank you. And our next question comes from Jeff Silber of BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.
Jeff Silber - Equity Analyst - (00:57:51)
Thanks so much. I know it's late, I'll just ask one. I think last quarter you talked about some of the weakness in academic medical centers considering what was going on with funding, et cetera. Can we get an update on that? Has that changed at all?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:58:04)
Yeah, trend remains the same. So if we look at where academic medical centers are year over year, they are still lagging our non academic medical care system, but we are getting closer to them being stabilized. And I would expect that as we really start kind of 2026 that they would be, if not stabilized, very close to stabilized.
Jeff Silber - Equity Analyst - (00:58:32)
And can you just remind me what percentage of the business that is?
Cary Grace - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:58:38)
I'm pulling it up from last quarter, about 20%. Yeah.
Jeff Silber - Equity Analyst - (00:58:42)
Okay, great. Thanks so much.
OPERATOR - (00:58:46)
Thank you. I'M showing. No further questions. I'd like to turn it back to Cary Grace for closing remarks. Thank you. As we focus on a strong finish to the year and look forward to 2026, I want to thank our AMN Team members who have worked tirelessly to deliver industry leading, total talent solutions to healthcare providers to enable them to provide high quality and uninterrupted patient care. We are who we are because of the dedication of our AMN team. We appreciate your interest in AMN Healthcare and look forward to talking to you next quarter. Thank you. Operator. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect.
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