Baytex Energy reports record production and strong cash flow in Q3 2025
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Baytex Energy achieves record production in Q3 2025, generating $143 million in free cash flow while reducing net debt to $2.2 billion.


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Summary

  • Baytex Energy reported a strong third quarter with record production in the Pembina Duvernay and substantial free cash flow generation of $143 million, supported by Canadian heavy oil and US Eagle Ford operations.
  • The company reduced net debt to $2.2 billion and maintained significant financial liquidity with over $1.3 billion in undrawn credit capacity.
  • Baytex Energy completed a land swap to consolidate Southern Duvernay acreage and commissioned new infrastructure to support efficient development.
  • Heavy oil production increased by 5% and Eagle Ford volumes rose by 3%, despite soft commodity prices.
  • The company expects to generate approximately $300 million in free cash flow for 2025, down from the previous forecast of $400 million due to lower commodity prices.
  • Operational execution remained strong, with 69 wells brought on stream and a commitment to accelerate full commercialization of the Pembina Duvernay asset.
  • Management emphasized their capital discipline and ability to execute through market volatility, maintaining financial flexibility for long-term value creation.

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OPERATOR - (00:01:25)

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference Operator. Welcome to the baytex Energy Corps third quarter 2025 financial and operating results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen only mode and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity for analysts to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press Star then one on your telephone keypad. You may also submit questions in writing at any time using the form in the lower section of the webcast frame. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing Star then zero. I would now like to turn the conference over to Brian Ector, Senior Vice President, Capital Markets and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Brian Ector - Senior Vice President, Capital Markets and Investor Relations - (00:02:11)

Thank you. Michael, good morning and welcome to Baytex's third quarter 2025 earnings call. I am joined today by Eric Greger, our President and Chief Executive Officer, Chad Kelmacough, our Chief Financial Officer and Chad Lundberg, our Chief Operating Officer. Before we begin, please note that our discussion today contains forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. I refer you to the advisories regarding forward looking statements, oil and gas information and non GAAP financial and capital management measures in yesterday's press release. All dollar amounts referenced in our remarks are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified. And after our prepared remarks, we'll open the call for questions from analysts Webcast participants can also submit questions online. With that, let me turn the call over to Eric.

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:03:07)

Thanks Brian and Good morning everyone. Q3 was a strong quarter for Baytex. We delivered record production in the Pembina Duvernay generated robust free cash flow supported by the strength and reliability of our Canadian heavy oil and US Eagle Ford operations and made further progress on debt reduction. Pembina Duvernay set a new quarterly production record averaging just over 10,000 boe per day, driven by strong well performance from the third pad we brought on stream in September. We also completed a land swap to consolidate our Southern duvernay acreage and commission new gathering and midstream infrastructure with Gibson Energy, both of which will support more efficient development. As we scale up. Our heavy oil and Eagle Ford assets continued to deliver steady volumes and strong cash flow. Heavy oil production grew 5% quarter over quarter, while volumes in Eagle Ford were up 3%. Commodity prices remained soft in the third quarter with WTI averaging approximately $65 per barrel. But our strong operational execution and cost discipline enabled US to generate $143 million in free cash flow and reduce net debt to $2.2 billion. With that, I'll turn the call over to Chad Kalmakoff to discuss our financial results.

Chad Kalmakoff - Chief Financial Officer - (00:04:30)

Thanks, Eric. Third quarter financial results were solid. Adjusted funds flow was $422 million or $0.55 per basic share. Net income for the quarter was 32 million and we generated 143 million in free cash flow after $270 million in exploration and development expenditures. We returned $17 million to shareholders through our quarterly dividend and reduced net debt by $50 million, bringing net debt at quarter end to $2.2 billion. As Eric noted, our financial position remains strong. We have significant financial liquidity with over $1.3 billion in undrawn credit capacity on our credit facilities and our first note not maturing until April 2030. Our capital allocation framework remains unchanged. 100% of our free cash flow is directed to debt repayment after funding our dividend. Based on year to date results and the forward strip for Q4, we now expect to generate approximately $300 million in free cash flow for 2025. This compares to our previous forecast of $400 million, with a change largely attributed to lower commodity prices during the second half of the year. There is no change to our production guidance and we expect to reach 2.1 billion of net debt at year end. I'll pass on to Lumberg Chad Lumberg to provide more details on our operating results.

Chad Lundberg - Chief Operating Officer - (00:05:43)

Thanks, Chad. We saw strong operating performance in Q3. Production averaged 151,000 boe per day, with liquids making up 86% of the mix. We invested $270 million in exploration and development and brought 69 wells on stream, keeping us on track with our plan. In the Pembina duvernay, production averaged 10,200 boe per day, up 53% from last quarter. The third pad from our 2025 program came online in September with two wells delivering strong 30 day peak rates averaging 1300 boe per day per well. The third well encountered casing issues during completion and was subsequently abandoned. We are committed to accelerating full commercialization of the asset, targeting 18 to 20 wells per year by 2027 and ramping production to 20,000 boe per day by 2029. In addition to our progress in the Duvernay, we continued to expand our heavy oil platform. Heavy oil averaged 47,300 boe per day, up 5% from Q2. We brought 20 net wells on stream and expanded our core land base in Peace river and Northeast Alberta. Our heavy oil inventory now totals approximately 1100 locations, supporting approximately 10 years of drilling. At our current pace, Eagle Ford production remains steady at 82,800 boe per day. With oil production up 3% from last quarter, we brought 15.6 wells on stream while achieving a 12% improvement in drilling and completions costs. We continue to see strong results from the refracs completed last quarter. Those wells are performing in line with expectations and are informing our plans for an expanded refrac program in 2026. Overall operational execution across the asset base remains strong, underpinned by our commitment to health and safety of our workers and the communities in which we operate. Let me turn the call back to Eric for his closing remarks.

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:08:14)

Thanks Chad. Our third quarter results demonstrate Baytex's ability to create value across commodity price cycles. The Pembina duvernay continues to drive our Canadian growth potential, bolstered by recent consolidation efforts and infrastructure advancements that support future development and operational flexibility. At the same time, our heavy oil and Eagle Ford assets continue to deliver reliable results in cash flow. Our capital discipline and our consistent performance demonstrate our ability to execute through market volatility, maintain financial flexibility and position our company for long term value creation. Brian, back to you.

Brian Ector - Senior Vice President, Capital Markets and Investor Relations - (00:08:57)

All right, thanks Eric. Before we open the line for questions, I want to address the recent news reporting regarding our U.S. eagle Ford assets. As a matter of policy, we do not comment on speculation. Our focus remains on consistent operational execution, capital discipline and maximizing value. We ask that analyst questions remain focused on our third quarter results and published guidance and operator. We're now ready for questions.

OPERATOR - (00:09:28)

We will now begin the analyst question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press Star, then one. On your telephone keypad you will hear a tone acknowledging your request. To submit your question in writing, please use the form in the lower right section of the webcast frame. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press Star then two. We will pause for a moment as callers join the queue. First question comes from Phillips Johnston with Capital One. Please go ahead.

Phillips Johnston - Equity Analyst - (00:10:07)

Hey, thanks for the time. My first question is on the 24 million of acquisitions that you executed here in Q3. I'm guessing that was spread out across the three areas mentioned in the release. Should we assume that? I guess the question is, was there any material production that came with the transactions or was it all undeveloped acreage?

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:10:31)

Hi Philip, it's Eric Greger here. Thanks for the question. It was all undeveloped land focused in the Ardmore area. That's Cold Lake Oil Sands, Manville Stack Development in the Peace River Oil Sands Pikes Peak area. That one's Quite a bit bigger. So the Ardmore was about four and a half net sections and the Peace river oil sands, the Picusco area, about 40 and a half net sections. That's in the heavy oil business. And then in Spartan. Likewise. Focus. Just. Sorry. In Pembina Duvernay, likewise. It's just our areas in the south in what we call Gilby. And that was an area that was prior checkerboarded.

Phillips Johnston - Equity Analyst - (00:11:26)

Okay, great. Makes sense. And as you mentioned, we saw a nice uptick in your heavy oil production. It was up 7% in Q2 and then up another 5% or so here in Q3. And that was after, you know, three sequential quarterly declines. Can you, can you talk about what's driven that growth and what we should expect for Q4 and into 2026?

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:11:54)

Yeah, it's a little early for 2026, but what I would say is we continue to execute the 2025 plan. It's really been. But for the change we made in May after, in April, May after mid-year, after our Q1 announcement, it's really been executing our plan. So we lay out, you know, our capital profile based on breakup anticipation of some breakup impacts to access and you know, breakup is light, then that creates optionality in the plan. But we're really simply executing the plan and we're seeing stronger performance across all of the assets really based on the capital investments we're making. So it's really steady execution of the plan, Phillip, with a little bit better performance than maybe we had originally communicated to the market, which is pretty consistent with our conservative guidance style.

Phillips Johnston - Equity Analyst - (00:12:58)

Sounds good. Thank you, Eric.

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:13:01)

Thanks, Phillips.

OPERATOR - (00:13:04)

And your next question comes from Luke Davis with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Luke Davis - Equity Analyst - (00:13:11)

Good morning, guys. Doing some good work in Canada. I'm wondering if you could just provide some parameters sort of by asset in terms of what you expect those to look like, say over the next three to five years. And if you can kind of contextualize that in the current commodity price environment versus something a little bit more favorable, call a mid cycle price.

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:13:30)

Sorry, what assets did he say? Oh, okay. Yeah, hey, Luke, it's Eric again. Yeah, so look, I, I think, you know, 2026 commodity pricing is anyone's guess, but you know, things go, you know, into the 50s, you know, we're probably looking at a plan that is more conservative. That is what you would expect. And I think what, what any producer of a, of a commodity would do, something that's probably closer to flat. If prices move higher toward mid cycle through 2026 and into 2027, then you know, naturally we would lean in because there's a lot of value to pull forward for shareholders. I'm sure that's what you would expect me to say. The assets are just performing really well. I mean, we've got strong geology teams working all across our heavy oil fairway. The engineering teams in our long history across our large heavy oil fairway means the hit rate's pretty good on, you know, exploration and development. And in duvernay, you know, it's just been a really strong year in terms of, you know, fracture complexity, completion uniformity, well performance on the whole. And we couldn't be more pleased with the results across our duvernay as well. So across the Canadian portfolio, it just feels really good. Our Viking assets run steady and flat and are extremely reliable in terms of their input and output, you know, factors. So that's the way I would characterize it.

Luke Davis - Equity Analyst - (00:15:20)

That's helpful. I'm wondering also if you could just dig into the duvernay a little bit more. Well, performance looks very good. Wondering if there's anything that you can tweak going forward and how you'd expect the productivity parameters to change. And then you did abandon one well. So I'm wondering if you can just flesh out some of the issues you had and maybe some learnings coming out of that.

Eric Greger - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:15:40)

You bet, Luke. I'm gonna pitch it over to Chad Lundberg here for that one.

Chad Lundberg - Chief Operating Officer - (00:15:43)

Great, thanks. Two parts to your question, so I'll address the hole first. This was an issue that resulted from the construction of the well, really on the upfront drilling. So it's something to do with the casing and the cement. We believe it's an isolated incident and that we will have it resolved for our programs forward. So I think that's the key thing is we believe it's isolated and. And go forward, we've figured it out. Your second question, just on DuVernay performance. So, yes, year over year, we've seen a strong improvement in IPs, as everybody knows, we're curiously declining the wells to try to understand how that relates to EURs. We think we have a high chance of seeing an improvement in EURS as well. When you really think about how we constructed this year, were trying to understand completion, efficiency and just our ability to deliver sand and energy into the formation. We think we made big strides this year and that. That some of these results are a direct result of that. As we think about programs forward, we're not done, and I don't know if we'll ever be done. These things are a continuous improvement cycle, but we do have more improvements that we're working through at this point in time that we're excited to deploy through 2026 and see where the results take us.

Luke Davis - Equity Analyst - (00:17:17)

Appreciate that. Thanks, guys.

OPERATOR - (00:17:22)

This concludes the question and answer session from the phone lines. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Brian Ector for any questions received online.

Brian Ector - Senior Vice President, Capital Markets and Investor Relations - (00:17:34)

Thanks, Michael. We had a couple of questions come in on the webcast, but I do believe they've been addressed through the analyst Q and A already. So I think with that, we are going to wrap up today's call. I'd like to thank everyone for joining, and thanks again for your time and have a great day.

OPERATOR - (00:17:57)

This brings to a close today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.

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