Dominion Energy reports Q3 earnings of $1.06 per share, narrows 2025 guidance, and highlights advancements in Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project.
In this transcript
Summary
- Dominion Energy reported third quarter operating earnings of $1.06 per share, with GAAP results at $1.16 per share. Key drivers included positive factors from regulated sales and higher contracted energy margins.
- The company narrowed its full-year guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share, maintaining the midpoint at $3.40, and reaffirmed all other existing financial guidance.
- Strategic focus remains on the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project, which is two-thirds complete, with an expected project cost of $11.2 billion. The company anticipates first power delivery in the late first quarter of 2026.
- Dominion Energy has seen robust demand from data centers, with 47 gigawatts in various stages of contracting, reflecting a 17% increase since December 2024.
- Management emphasized the importance of executing commitments made at the conclusion of the business review, focusing on financial performance, construction milestones, and regulatory achievements.
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OPERATOR - (00:01:21)
Please stand by, we are about to begin. Good morning everyone. Welcome to the Dominion Energy third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, each of your lines is in a listen only mode. At the conclusion of today's presentation, we will open the floor for questions. Instructions will be given for the procedure to follow. If you would like to ask question at that time. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. David McFarland, Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasurer. Please go ahead, sir. Good morning and thank you for joining Dominion Energy's third quarter 2025 earnings call. Earnings materials, including today's prepared remarks, contain forward looking statements and estimates that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Please Refer to our SEC filings, including our most recent annual report on Form 10K and our quarterly reports on Form 10Q for a discussion of factors that may cause results to differ from management's estimates and expectations. This morning we will discuss some measures of our company's performance that differ from those recognized by GAAP. The reconciliation of our non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures we can calculate, are contained in the Earnings Release Kit. I encourage you to visit our Investor Relations website to review webcast slides as well as the Earnings Release Kit. Joining today's call are Bob Blue, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer, Stephen Ridge, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer and other members of Senior management. I will now turn the call over to Steven. Thank you, David and good morning everyone. Since the conclusion of the Business Review last year, we've focused on three principal priorities. First, consistent achievement of our financial commitments. Second, continued on time achievement of major construction milestones for the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project and third, constructive achievement of regulatory outcomes that demonstrate our ability to work cooperatively with regulators and stakeholders to deliver results that benefit both customers and shareholders. As we successfully execute against these priorities, we empower our employees to provide the reliable, affordable and increasingly clean energy that powers our customers every day. And we position ourselves to deliver on the commitments we made to our investors at the conclusion of the Business Review. We believe that continued execution against these commitments will deliver compelling value for our shareholders. I'll address our financial results and then Bob will address CVAL (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project) and regulatory progress as shown on slide 3, third quarter operating earnings were $1.06 per share which includes $0.03 of RNG, 45Z credits and $0.06 of worse than normal weather relative to third quarter 2024 positive factors for the quarter included $0.06 from regulated, $0.08 from increased sales, $0.05 from our DESC (Dominion Energy South Carolina) rate case settlement in 2024 and $0.03 from higher margins at contracted energy. Third quarter results also included worse weather, higher depreciation, depletion, and amortization (DDA) and higher financing costs. A summary of all drivers for earnings relative to the prior year period is included in Schedule 4 of the Earnings Release Kit. Third quarter GAAP results were $1.16 per share. A summary of all adjustments between operating and GAAP results is included in Schedule 2 of the Earnings Release Kit. Turning now to guidance with nine months of 2025 financial results reported, we're narrowing our full year guidance range to $3.33 to $3.48 per share inclusive of RNG 45Z earnings while preserving the original guidance midpoint of $3.40. On last quarter's call, I highlighted sales and weather as noteworthy tailwinds through six months of the year. Over the last four months we've seen weather reverse and through 10 months of the year now represents a small headwind of approximately $0.02. Continued strength from commercial and residential sales combined with other initiatives gives us confidence in our ability to deliver full year results at or above the midpoint of our guidance. Assuming normal weather for the last two months of the year, we've provided year over year drivers for the fourth quarter in the appendix of today's materials for your reference. Finally, we are reaffirming all other existing financial guidance. Turning to Slide 4 We've completed our 2025 financing plan and as mentioned on prior calls, taken steps to further de risk future ATM equity. We remain focused on balance sheet conservatism and there is no change to our previously communicated credit related targets. Finally, we'll provide a comprehensive capital investment Forecast update through 2030 on our fourth quarter earnings call which will take place in early 2026, we expect incremental opportunities to deploy regulated capital on behalf of our customers with a timing bias towards the back end of the plan. As always, we will look at incremental capital through the lenses of customer affordability, system reliability, balance sheet conservatism and our low risk profile. In conclusion, I am highly confident in our ability to deliver on our financial plan. We've built our plan to be appropriately but also not unreasonably conservative to weather unforeseen challenges that may occur. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Bob.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:06:57)
Thank you, Steven. Good morning everyone. I'll begin with safety on Slide 5. Through September, our Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) recordable incident rate was 0.28, continuing the positive trend from the last 3 years. Continuing to reduce workplace injuries is one way we can honor the memory of our colleague Ryan Barwick, who we lost in an accident earlier this year. We must continue to focus relentlessly on improving our safety performance. Now I'll turn to updates around the execution of our growth plan. I'll start with the Coastal Virginia Offshore wind project. Slide 6 highlights what makes CVAL (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project) such an important and unique generation resource. The project is now two thirds complete and just a few months away from delivering much needed electricity to our customers. Slide 7 shows our major equipment progress. We successfully completed 100% of monopile installation one month prior to the conclusion of the piling season. Very pleased with this tremendous milestone for the project. We've installed 63 transition pieces to date, with all 176 transition pieces now fabricated. Turbine fabrication remains on schedule. Earlier this week we installed the second offshore substation jacket and we'll place the accompanying topside shortly. The third and final offshore substation is nearly complete and will be installed in the first quarter of next year. Turning to timing on slide 10, we now expect first turbine installation to occur late next month and continue to expect first power to be delivered to our customers in late first quarter of next year, approximately five months from now. As a reminder, we'll be energizing strings of turbines throughout 2026. No change to our current expectation of project completion by the end of 26, but given delays with Charybdis (wind turbine installation vessel), we have significantly reduced the schedule's weather and maintenance and vessel maintenance contingency, which could push a few of the final turbines into early 2027. We'll continue to refine and update this assumption as we observe actual turbine installation cadence similar to what occurred with monopiles, which went more quickly than expected. Project costs now stand at $11.2 billion, which includes unused contingency of 206 million, down about 15 million from last quarter. Excluding tariff impacts, costs for project components have remained in line with the prior update. The updated costs this quarter reflect the accelerated recognition of steel tariffs through the end of 2026. Whereas we were previously recognizing all tariff costs on a quarter by quarter basis through September, the project has invested approximately $8.2 billion. The remaining project costs attributable to Dominion are expected to be approximately $1.5 billion. On Slide 11, we've continued to provide an update to our potential tariff exposure across discrete tariff categories and and illustrative durations. We're showing the impact of country specific tariffs through project construction at the end of 2026. Please note that changes to tariff policy could impact these estimates. Unfixed costs include project management costs, fuel for vessels and changes to tariffs and network upgrades. If any estimated network upgrade costs assigned by PJM Interconnection to CVAL (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project) in the most recent decision point came down modestly, we expect this inaugural process to conclude by year end and do not expect a material change to network upgrade costs. We'll then execute and submit our generator interconnection agreement at PJM Interconnection and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) under the very standard finalization protocol as is in place for all new generating sources. We expect the process to conclude in March, which will be the final step to first power. As a result of this project cost increase, we recorded a modest charge this quarter, about $50 million after tax included on Schedule 2 for costs not expected to be recovered from customers. In accordance with the cost sharing settlement with Virginia regulators and our 50% cost sharing partnership agreement with Stonepe, these cost and risk sharing arrangements continue to work as intended to protect customers and shareholders. Further on costs, we'll file both our quarterly status Report and our 2026 CVAL (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project) rider filing with the State Corporation Commission today. As shown on slide 12, the project's levelized cost of energy (LCOE) has been updated to $84 up from last quarter, driven primarily by lower forecasted renewable energy credit (REC) prices. Keep in mind that renewable energy credit (REC) sales are credited against the levelized cost of energy as value delivered to customers and the value of renewable energy credit (REC)s will change year to year based on market dynamics at the time. However importantly, the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) compares favorably to other generation resources and is well below the statutory amount. It's also in line with the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) range provided at the time of the original filing in November 2021. The project is now forecasted to represent an average residential customer monthly bill credit of 63 cents over the life of the project. Under the rider proposal filed today, we're forecasting a revenue requirement for the 2026 rate year which begins in September 26th of $665 million. This customer beneficial real time cash recovery provides important financial support for this regulated investment during construction. If approved, the rider proposal filed today would result in residential customers seeing a decline in their monthly bill in September as the project begins to generate electricity in early 2026. Progress on CVAL (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project) continues to go very well and there's every reason for our customers and policymakers to be excited by the timely delivery of much needed low cost electricity from this critical generating resource. Let me pivot to discuss Charybdis (wind turbine installation vessel), our American Made Jones Act compliant wind turbine installation vessel, which has been a challenge. I'm extremely disappointed that Charybdis (wind turbine installation vessel) has again not met expectations. I recognize the importance of executing consistently against any commitment and we failed to deliver regarding Charybdis (wind turbine installation vessel), we built Charybdis (wind turbine installation vessel) to de risk our installation process. We continue to believe that it will represent a strategic advantage providing enhanced schedule certainty which ultimately translates into cost certainty. The vessel successfully completed sea trials, received sign offs and arrived in Portsmouth, Virginia in September. Upon arrival, Siemens Gamesa successfully completed all necessary modifications for turbine handling and installation simultaneously. Punch list items were identified that require remediation prior to the vessel being cleared to begin turbine loadout and installation. While all major systems are operating well, there are a variety of quality assurance level items that require addressing and those tasks are currently underway to ensure that the vessel can commence work as quickly as it is safely able to do so. It's become clear that while the ship's design and construction methods are consistent with global best practices, we didn't properly account in our timing estimate for the risk inherent in being the first Jones Act compliant wind turbine installation vessel to be built and regulated in the United States. The vessel is expected to be cleared to load and install turbines in November. As a reminder, unlike monopile installations, there are no time of year or time of day restrictions on installing turbines. Finally, any modest delay beyond November won't impact first power timing in late first quarter of 2026. One final note on Project costs continue to be approximately $715 million. Moving out of data centers on Slide 14, we continue to see robust demand from data centers. We now have approximately 47 gigawatts in various stages of contracting as of September 2025, which compares to around 40 gigawatts as of December 2024, an increase of 7 gigawatts, or 17%. As a reminder, these contracts are broken into Substation Engineering Letters of Authorization, Construction Letters of Authorization, and Electrical Service Agreements. As customers move from the first to the last, the cost commitment and obligation by the customer increase. We're currently studying over 28 gigawatts of data center demand within the Substation Engineering Letters of Authorization stage, which means a customer has requested the company to begin the necessary engineering review for new infrastructure required for service. This compares to approximately 26 gigawatts as of December 2024 and represents a roughly 7% increase. There are also now about 9 gigawatts of data center demand that have executed Construction Letters of Authorization, which are contracts that enable construction of the required distribution and substation electric infrastructure to begin. This compares to just over 5 GW in December 2024 and represents an approximately 73% increase should a customer in this stage elect to discontinue a project, they're obligated to reimburse the company for its investment to date. Finally, we now have nearly 10 gigawatts in electric service agreements, or ESA, representing contracts for electric service between Dominion Energy and a customer. This has increased by nearly a gigawatt, or 12% since December 2024 as well, by signing an ESA, the customer is committing to consume a certain level of electricity annually, often with ramp schedules where the contracted usage grows over time. We welcome these customers to our system and recognize the vital contribution data centers make to national, state and community success. We're developing resources across distribution, transmission and generation to ensure we meet this critical need on a timely basis while also taking active steps to safeguard all of our customers from the risk of paying more than their fair share for reliable and affordable electric service. Data center demand should and can be a win win for our state, our customers and our company. Turning to Slide 15 Let me share a few additional business updates. First, on the biennial review proceeding and the proposed Large load tariff. Post hearing briefs were filed last week. We anticipate a final order by the end of November. Next, on the transmission side, we submitted project proposals in the latest PJM Interconnection Open Window process that closed in August. This year's reliability open window represents the largest proposed investment by Dominion Energy since PJM Interconnection began its open window process. While final project selections by PJM Interconnection won't be made until Q1 2026, there is a robust need for new transmission across the region and we expect this open window to reflect that. Recall that in last year's open Window, Dominion was awarded around 100 projects totaling nearly $3 billion. On the generation front, we've announced a number of updates in recent weeks. SEC hearings for the Chesterfield Energy Reliability center, an approximately 1 gigawatt natural gas fired electric generating facility, concluded in September and post hearing briefs were filed this week in line with previous testimony. We expect an order in December. On October 15th we filed our next set of utility scale solar and storage projects with the sec representing about $2.9 billion of new investment. The filing included approximately 845 megawatts of utility scale solar and 155 megawatts of storage projects which will further de risk our growth program. Also on October 15th we filed our 2025 Virginia Integrated Resource Plan which presented several possible generation build portfolios with additional resource capacity across both renewable and dispatchable generation technologies in response to continued robust load growth in our service territory. The IRP update demonstrates a continuation of our focus on an all of the above approach to ensuring reliability, affordability and increasingly clean generation. On customer affordability, as shown on Slide 16, our current residential electric rates at DEV and DESC are 9% and 11% below the US average respectively. And based on the build plans proposed in Both states, latest IRPs both will maintain customer bill growth rates through the forecast periods below current electricity inflation levels. In conclusion, we've summarized key highlights from today's call. On slide 17, we realize how important it is to meet the commitments we provided at the conclusion of the business review. We are 100% execution focused. We will deliver for our customers, our employees and our shareholders. With that, we're ready to take your questions.
OPERATOR - (00:19:28)
Thank you, Mr. Billy. Ladies and gentlemen, the floor is now open for your questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone at this time. If at any time you would like to remove yourself from the question queue, please press star 2 again, that is star 1 to ask a question. We'll go first this morning, Tushar Pereza of Wells Fargo. Hey guys, good morning.
Tushar Pereza - Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo - (00:19:52)
Welcome back. Oh, thank you. Appreciate it. It's good to be back. So, Bob, just on, just on the elections, I mean, there seems any source you're looking at, there's obviously a strong possibility the gubernatorial process may flip parties. You know, Governor Governor Youngkin has obviously been really supportive of cval, the biannual process, I guess. How do we price in any risk. On the construct should we see this flip? I mean, are we going to wake.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:20:18)
Up one day and the a Republican administration now blocks this project just given the lack of connection with the Republican governor? Have you spoken to Spanberg or just any thoughts around the political backdrop would be great. Yeah, Tushar, thanks a lot for that question. You know, let's start with the fact that every statewide candidate running regardless of party, supports CVAL (Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind Project). And that's consistent with the bipartisan support that this project has gotten at every level. Federal, state, local government, including congressional leadership. And if you think about it, there are really good reasons for that. It's the fastest way to get 2.6 gigawatts on the grid that's going to serve AI and technology companies, defense security installations. It's critical to important infrastructure upgrades at the Naval Air Station Oceana. And if you stop it now, it causes energy inflation. So it's not surprising that we're seeing bipartisan support at all levels of government. And we expect that to continue after the election.
Tushar Pereza - Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo - (00:21:26)
Got it. Okay, perfect. And then just lastly on Charybdis, can. You just give us a little Bit. Of a sense, if you can, on just the nature of the punch list for the project and when do you kind of expect the quality assurance items. That you obviously highlighted to be completed, which are underway?
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:21:43)
Thanks. Yeah, let me. That's a great question. Let me give you a little context, walk you through where we are. As you know, this is the first Jones Act compliant wind turbine installation vessel to be built in the US and subject to US regulatory oversight. It's a big ship. It's 472ft long, it's 184ft wide, weighs 27,000 tons. It's got some complex systems on it. It's got a 2200 ton capacity crane, it's got a jacking system that's capable of creating a 40 meter air gap under the hull when the ship is jacked up. And those systems, the crane, the jacking system, the dynamic positioning system, they are all operating very well. So earlier this month, local regulators, when it arrived in Portsmouth, conducted a standard new to zone inspection and that identified two primary areas of concern. The first was the material condition of certain components, primarily within the ship's electrical systems. And then second, the need for documentation that confirmed that the systems we built as built, met U.S. approved codes and standards. So that created this punch list of about 200 items that have to be addressed before we can begin loading turbines. So let me talk a little bit about what we're doing. Ships divided into 63 zones. Our crews, including qualified marine electricians, are doing detailed surveys and they're either documenting or immediately mitigating discrepancy. So to date, we've done over 4000 inspections across 69 electrical systems, including 1400 cable inspections. We've got 200 people working around the clock. Of that original 200 punch list items, we've closed out about 120. So it's important to know not all those items are created equal. Some punch list items are a little more complex and will take longer to resolve. But the progress has been really good. And so, based on the pace of work, the commitment of the team we've got there, highly confident that we'll work our way through all the punch list items and be ready to start operating in November. Okay, that's perfect. Thanks again, Bob. That's a helpful caller and see you guys in a couple of days.
Tushar Pereza - Equity Analyst at Wells Fargo - (00:24:11)
Appreciate it.
Sara - (00:24:12)
Thanks, Sara.
OPERATOR - (00:24:15)
Thank you. We go next now to Nick Campanella at Barclays.
Nick Campanella - Equity Analyst at Barclays - (00:24:20)
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions here. Morning, Nick. Just morning. One follow up on the ship just after you get this punch list Done. I just wanted to confirm there's no other approvals needed across offshore wind supply chain, the boat or with federal government that would allow you to install turbines. It's just really getting past this punch list. Yep, once we get through the punch list, we're ready to go. Great. Can I just ask about the capital plan comments then? I know you're going to be updating things in the fourth quarter. I think you talked a little bit about the bias of that capital plan update being more back end weighted if. I heard you correctly. But on the funding you did de risk equity for 26 and 27 here, what's the balance sheet capacity to kind of absorb higher capex at this point and should we still expect equity in 26 and 27 on the next pro forma plan?
Steve Fleischman - Equity Analyst at Wolff Research - (00:25:16)
Thanks. Hey Nick, it's Steve. I'll take that. Yeah, we, we talked a little bit about the update we'll provide on the fourth quarter call in probably February of 26 and I fully expect at that time we're going to see upward revisions to our capital plan across distribution, transmission and generation that effectively reflect what we filed in the irp, which is some significant increases in the amount of generation. One example is the South Carolina CCGT that we're now authorized and seeking approval to build with our partner Santee Cooper. None of that capital, for instance, was included in the most recent capital update and we've identified opportunity for additional generation and Virginia and much of that's not been included. So we talked about transmission and the opportunity with the PJM open window. So there's. We're in a fortunate position to have a lot of really high quality opportunities to deploy regulated capital, the benefit of our customers, which will provide sort of a full update next, early next year. With regard to our balance sheet, I'm really pleased with where our balance sheet is. When we came out of the business review, we talked about being at 15% FFO to debt starting in 2025. That's still where we're tracking. That's about 100 basis point cushion relative to our downgrade threshold at Moody's.200 basis points at S and P. We mentioned the time Moody's is going to be slightly lower than that 15% just given the methodology they deploy relative to sort of our more simplified metric for FFO to debt. But we're in a very good position and we've taken steps, as you noted, to do a lot of de risking for our planned ATM when we update the capital plan come early next year, we'll at the same time give you an updated perspective on our financing needs. We've been very effective at deploying ATM and hybrid equity, very cost competitive. And we'll look at all the tools available to us. As we've always said, we'll look at all the available tools available to us to source capital from the most attractive source. And so I don't want to get out in front of that, but you can assume we're going to finance the growth of our business in a way that maintains that balance sheet conservatism, but in so doing, it should also provide for value to our shareholders.
Nick Campanella - Equity Analyst at Barclays - (00:27:46)
Great. Thank you very much.
Steve Fleischman - Equity Analyst at Wolff Research - (00:27:49)
Thanks, Nick. We'll go next now to Steve Fleischman of Wolff Research. Yeah, hi, good morning. Thanks. Just one other question on the Charybdis. Just want to confirm there's nothing related to the government shutdown or any political stuff that's affecting the timing. It's just this punch list. That's it.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:28:13)
Steve, there is nothing related to the government shutdown or anything else.
Steve Fleischman - Equity Analyst at Wolff Research - (00:28:18)
Okay. And then once we start seeing turbines come in, can you give us a sense of like, cadence there? My recollection is maybe the first set a little slower, but then it gets into a cadence. So can you maybe talk a little bit about what we should be looking. For on turbine cadence?
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:28:36)
I think exactly what you just described. We're going to think about monopiles, for example. We at the beginning were a little bit slower and then got into a rhythm. So we'll update the installation cadence as we go along. But you should expect that the first few are going to be slower and then we'll pick up the pace as we move through. But we'll be able to give regular updates on how we're doing on turbine insulation. Cadence. Okay.
Steve Fleischman - Equity Analyst at Wolff Research - (00:29:09)
And then. Off topic. When we get these PJM open window wins or not. Like, how should we think about how much of that might already be in your plan? Or additive? Is it all additive? How should we think about that, Steve? I'd say we've made reasonably conservative assumptions in our forward capital plan with regard to wins across PJM open window, as well as opportunities to deploy capital that don't go through that pga organic maintenance capital and growth capital within our and what we've seen historically and more recently is upside to what we've assumed. I can't tell you sort of specifically what that will look like, but I'd say there's about, you know, we run rate in our forward projection, two and a half or so billion dollars a year of electric transmission that's up pretty significantly from what it was just four or five years ago. To the extent we continue to see opportunities, there could be continued upside to that. Yep. And then last quick one, just the IRP was interesting on the nuclear where it looked like, at least for now. You actually delayed the SMR new nuclear by five years. Could you just like talk to what is driving that? Yeah, Steve, I mean, it's a variety of circumstances. We're taking a look at financing and technology. We're also taking a look at how it fits within everything else that we're projecting to construct. So, I mean, you know, we're talking about pretty far out in the first place and now a little farther out with the update. I wouldn't read too much into that. Okay, great. Thank you.
OPERATOR - (00:31:02)
Thanks, Steve. And we'll go next now to Paul Zimbardo with Jeffries.
Paul Zimbardo - Equity Analyst at Jeffries - (00:31:11)
Hi, good morning, team. Thank you. Morning, Paul. To follow up on CVAL a little bit, to the extent that some of those final turbines do slip into the following year, are there any supply chain, labor or other kind of constraints to be mindful of and is there any way to think about what a financial impact of that could be?
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:31:33)
There are no supply chain or other issues. And as to financial impact, we're talking about a small number of turbines, so it's not a meaningful financial impact.
Steve Ridge - (00:31:45)
I would just add, as you might suspect, years ago, when we put this plan together, which had us completing all the turbines at the end of 2026, which is actually where we still intend to do, we obviously gave ourselves a little bit of latitude as it relates to what the ultimate timing would be. And in fact, I think we're very pleased that here we are some years after that original timeline was produced and we're effectively on target for these dates. And so we've made accommodations in advance that gave us some cushion to the extent that anything caused us to go anywhere beyond that end of 26 time frame. So I think we're very well buttoned up on that, quite frankly, with regard to suppliers and vendors and so forth. And as Bob mentioned, I think in the prepared remarks, I think one thing that's really important for our stakeholders to recognize is we'll be energizing these turbines throughout 2026 and deploying that rate base effectively and beginning to collect depreciation and, and in our revenue requirement throughout the time period that we're installing through 2026. So the actual impact of a couple of turbines slipping into 2027 is pretty de minimis, all things considered, which makes It a little bit different, I think, from something that's a bit more chunky. You know, by doing it on a string, we've effectively de chunkified that revenue stream. And so I think that acts as a fairly significant de risker or mitigant to the type of risk you might see from a standard power plant where you can't collect anything until everything's ready to go. This is 176 individual power plants that we'll be able to collect on in real time through 2026 as we deploy strings of turbines. Oh, thank you for that. And I like that phrase de chunkify. One other I had just you call.
Paul Zimbardo - Equity Analyst at Jeffries - (00:33:45)
It out that you've had some weather. And other headwinds year to date, but you still expect to be midpoint or better. Could you just go through what some of those are kind of the positive offsets.
Steve Ridge - (00:33:56)
Looks like sales are coming in stronger. If you go through that, it'd be helpful. Thank you. Sure. Paul. Yeah, I'm really pleased with 2025 financial performance. Year to date, we've had. We are now in a weather deficit, 2 cent weather deficit. And really the biggest driver of that has been sales across two primary sources. One is faster and more ramping on our data center customers. That's been pretty consistent through the year. And then over the summer we saw increased usage per customer on our residential class, which was something we're trying to understand better, but was a departure from what we've seen in the past. So the two of those combined have been a tailwind, as I've mentioned in the past. That's been the most positive driver that gives us that confidence. And we've seen, you know, some true ups on our riders, which allow us, as we deploy capital to the extent we deploy it faster, we get some true ups there. That's been a little bit of a help as well. But primarily it's been sales.
Paul Zimbardo - Equity Analyst at Jeffries - (00:35:02)
Okay, great. No, thanks for taking the questions. Appreciate it. Thanks, Paul. Thanks, Paul.
Carly Davenport - Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs - (00:35:08)
Go next now to Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions on maybe just on the data center update, just any color that you're able to share on the sort of timing to in Service for the 9.8 gigawatts of load that's now under ESA and just how to think about that cadence looking forward?
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:35:31)
Yeah, Carly, it's our data center load just continues to grow and the demand continues to grow, which is something considering that we've connected 450 data centers already and we've got more than 25% of our sales going to data centers in Virginia. So we're not seeing any decrease, we're actually seeing the opposite. And that's, you know, the whole PJM DOM zone is seeing quite a bit of new capacity requests and you know, they continue to choose us because we've got really good fundamentals. We've got great connectivity to global fiber networks, we've got a very business friendly environment in Virginia. We've got the largest data center workforce in the US and then we've got reliable and affordable electricity thanks to us. So we've gotten 370 delivery point requests since 2020, which is over 58 gigawatts of capacity, 17 gigawatts of that just in 2025. That's across our service territory and also the co ops that we serve from a transmission point of view. So we've now communicated firm dates for over 100 delivery point requests which represents over 25 gigawatts of capacity in the DOM zone. And those energization dates stretch through 2031. So sort of match up with everything that we've been saying already. So typically from the time of a delivery point request until we've got a customer hooked with a meter is about four to seven years and then they ramp in over time from the date. So we've got sales growth off that 10 gigawatts of ESAs there as they ramp in. You know, the current 4 gigs of meter demand just continues to increase steadily just off those ESAs over the coming years. Great, that's really helpful, thank you.
Carly Davenport - Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs - (00:37:47)
And then maybe just a clarification question on Slide 11, to the extent that costs through the end of 26 on CVAL do trend above that 11.3 billion level and recognize that what you're outlining here is not materially above that level, are you still assuming that Stone Peak will continue to contribute incremental capital there and if so, just what is your. Sort of confidence level there?
Steve Ridge - (00:38:07)
Yeah, so under the agreement we have with Stone peak capital between 11.3 and 11.8 is shared about 2/3 with Dominion and a third with Stone Peak. And that agreement, without getting into too many details, provides incentives for them effectively to do that to fund that. So that's what we've assumed. And as you mentioned, it's only a very small amount. I think in rounding terms it's even less than a full 100 million that were over 312 31, 26 on slide 11. Great, thank you so much. Thank you. We'll go next now to Jeremy Tonay at JPMorgan. Hi, happy Halloween.
Jeremy Tonay - Equity Analyst at JPMorgan - (00:38:48)
Thank you, Jeremy. Just one last one. If I could on CVAL here and. Recognize a lot of progress on a lot of Frontier, but just want to. Turn to the interray cable fabrication.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:39:01)
Not as much progress on that side, quarter for quarter and just wondering if you could touch on that a little bit the drivers. It's not necessarily a linear production Jeremy, but we are totally on track on inter array cable manufacturing and installation. So I would read nothing into if you're sort of doing the math on how much per month or quarter, anything like that, we are right on track.
Jeremy Tonay - Equity Analyst at JPMorgan - (00:39:32)
Got it. Thank you for that. And just want to come back to the question on nuclear if I could. And granted as you said, it's pretty far off at this point, but we. Have seen the federal government kind of step up with new efforts to support. Development here and just wondering if there's. Anything out there that you would be looking for that you think could materially, I guess change views on the potential for nuclear's role going forward.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:39:57)
Well, I mean our view is we're in the most in Virginia, at least the most nuclear friendly state in the country and the policy support here is very strong. The public and policymakers support whether it's the nuclear navy or the big parts of the supply chain or the reactors that we've been operating safely here in Virginia since the 70s. But I think as we've described before, as we think about new nuclear cost overrun risk being borne by our customers and our shareholders is a concern first of a kind. Costs being borne by our customers is a concern and the balance sheet that we've worked very hard to get in shape and our business risk profile can't change. So there are ways to work through that. That's you know the MOU that we entered into with Amazon, they've expressed some interest in helping Finance an SMR at Northana 3. We continue to work our way through that. But fundamentally as we think about new nuclear which could be very beneficial for the state, we need to think about first of a kind cost cost overrun, risk and our business risk profile.
Jeremy Tonay - Equity Analyst at JPMorgan - (00:41:23)
Got it. So it sounds like backstops on catastrophic risk and just cost over on risk. Would be the key things to pull forward. I guess the timeline at this point. They would be incredibly valuable. Yes, got it. That's very helpful, thanks. The last one if I could. And as we think about data center. Development here, and clearly this has been a focus for you, you guys well ahead of others here. But equipment availability as it stands right now, transformers, transmission Equipment, you know, everything for cc. Just wondering how long the queues at. This point and how do you think about, I guess lining that up with. More data centers just given how, you. Know, timelines are on both sides at.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:42:01)
This point for demand? Well, if you think about the sort of timeline on components for generation, our IRP that we just filed with the dates that we've got for new gen line up with what we expect on timelines for the supply chain and then more broadly I think everyone is experiencing there's more demand for transformers and other equipment. I think we're advantaged because of our size, because of the long relationships that we have with suppliers. We've been doing a lot of transmission work at this company for quite a while and so I think that puts us in a good place as we try to connect the data center load that we've got. It's a big lift, but we're very much up to the task. Got it. And just one last one if I could, speaking about timeline, if anything for.
Jeremy Tonay - Equity Analyst at JPMorgan - (00:43:04)
Steve Al, if anything slips into 27 here, do you think that there would. Be that would impact, I guess the. 26 guide at this point or is. That kind of just small at this. Point and wouldn't really think of it as much of a headwind when it. Comes to the 26 guide.
Steve Ridge - (00:43:20)
Jeremy, I feel very, very good about our financial plan. We've constructed it to be appropriately, though not unreasonably conservative. So when things, if something like that were to occur, I feel very good about our ability to maintain our ability to hit the commitments we made to our investors at the conclusion of the business review.
Jeremy Tonay - Equity Analyst at JPMorgan - (00:43:40)
Got it. That's very helpful. Thank you.
OPERATOR - (00:43:42)
Thank you, Jeremy. We'll go next now to Anthony Crodel at Mizuho.
Anthony Crodel - (00:43:49)
Hey, good morning. I'm going to ask, this is my last one three times. Just quickly, is there a cadence of generation needs that you guys look at when two to three years, whether it's. Like a gig a year, like how. Much generation will you be bringing onto the grid as we look out towards the back end of your plan? Well, I mean the best way to look at it, Jeremy, is we outline it in the irp. So I'm not going to walk through sort of what comes on each year, but I will say we've got 2.6 gigawatts coming on in offshore wind by end of next year. Chesterfield Energy Reliability center, which is in front of the commission right now, that's a gig of natural gas peaking that would come on in 29 and then we've got a cadence roughly of a gig of solar a year between US and PPAs coming online. Plus we've got another, I guess half a gig ish, 500 megawatts of up rates on our existing gas fleet in Virginia. So it's all in the irp, sort of by year, which is probably the best way to look at. Great. No, that's, that's perfect. And then just one follow up when Charybdis finally clears to, I guess, begin installation. Does the company issue a press release or an ak? Just how best could we track that?
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:45:19)
Well, we've noticed a lot of people track where Charybdis is on the web on, you know, one of these vessel finder sites. So you'll see won't be at the dock anymore, it'll be out at a turbine. I would not anticipate us issuing an 8K or a press release when it's done because it's another step in the project, a project that is going extremely well. We didn't issue a press release when we started installing other components. We just moved through this efficiently and effectively as we've been doing throughout our offshore wind project. Great. Thanks again. See you in Florida.
OPERATOR - (00:46:05)
Thank you. Thank you. And ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude our question and answer session for today. Mr. Blue, I'd like to turn the conference back to you, sir, for any closing comments.
Bob Blue - Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:46:16)
Thanks everybody for taking the time to join the call today. Hope you enjoy the rest of the day and your Halloween.
OPERATOR - (00:46:23)
Thank you very much, Mr. Blue. Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's Dominion Energy third quarter earnings call. Again, thanks so much for joining us everyone and we wish you all a great day. Goodbye. .
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