RMR Gr reports Q4 2025 earnings at $0.44 per share; focuses on strategic debt financing and asset sales amid economic uncertainty
In this transcript
Summary
- RMR Gr reported fourth-quarter results with distributable earnings of $0.44 per share, adjusted net income of $0.22 per share, and adjusted EBITDA of $20.5 million, meeting expectations.
- The company executed nearly $2 billion in accretive debt financings and completed $300 million in asset sales within its managed equity REITs, accruing potential incentive fees of approximately $22 million for 2025.
- Significant operational activities included: DHC's strategic transformation with asset sales and transition of shop communities, SVC's non-core hotel sales, and Seven Hills' rights offering to raise $65 million for new loan investments.
- OPI entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement under Chapter 11, with RMR agreeing to manage OPI post-bankruptcy for a flat fee, highlighting a stable management fee structure.
- RMR's private capital initiatives include raising funds for residential and retail developments, with a focus on residential credit and value-add opportunities, supported by a strong balance sheet and planned seed investments.
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OPERATOR - (00:00:46)
Good morning and welcome to the The RMR Group fiscal fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing Star, then zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Brian Maher, Senior Vice President. Please go ahead.
Brian Maher - Senior Vice President - (00:01:11)
Thank you and good morning. Thank you for joining The RMR Group's fiscal fourth quarter 2025 conference call. With me on today's call are President and CEO Adam Portnoy, Chief Operating Officer Matt Jordan and Chief Financial Officer Matt Brown. In just a moment they will provide details about our business and quarterly results followed by a question and answer session. I would also like to note that the recording or retransmission of today's conference call is prohibited without the prior written consent of the Company. Today's conference call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other securities laws. These forward-looking statements are based on The RMR Group's beliefs and expectations as of today, November 13, 2025 and actual results may differ materially from those that we project. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or publicly release the results of any revision to the forward-looking statements made in today's conference call. Additional information concerning factors that could cause those differences and is contained in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission which can be found on our website@rmrgroup.com Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements. In addition, we may discuss non-GAAP numbers during this call including adjusted net income per share, distributable earnings and Adjusted EBITDA. A reconciliation of net income determined in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles to these non-GAAP figures can be. Found in our financial results. I will now turn the call over to Adam.
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:02:45)
Thanks Brian and thank you all for joining us this morning. Yesterday we reported fourth quarter results that were in line with our expectations, highlighted by distributable earnings of $0.44 per share, adjusted net income of $0.22 per share and adjusted EBITDA of $20.5 million. Despite a continued unsettled economic environment, RMR was active this past quarter executing on our clients strategic initiatives. The majority of these activities took place in our managed equity REITs where we completed nearly $2 billion of accretive debt financings at attractive rates and we completed over $300 million in asset sales. We believe these efforts are being recognized in the public markets as demonstrated by the share price improvements at both DHC and ILPT. These share price improvements have resulted in DHC and ILPT both accruing potential incentive fees for rmr, which highlights the alignment of interest RMR has with the shareholders of our Managed Equity REITs. While subject to change, these potential incentive fees could be approximately $22 million in 2025. Turning to a few notable updates at our Perpetual Capital clients, DHC posted solid quarterly results led by strong sector tailwinds benefiting DHC's senior housing segment as well as the significant capital that has been invested in DHC's communities. Consolidated shop NOI increased 8% year over year to $29.6 million, led by a 210 basis point increase in occupancy and to 81.5% and a 5.3% increase in average monthly rates. Beyond its continued focus on shop operations, DHC has also been executing on its strategic transformation. More specifically, DHC announced the successful sale of non core assets at attractive valuations as it further deleveraged its balance sheet during the quarter, DHC also began executing on its announced transition of 116 shop communities from Alaris Life to new operators that have proven track records and well established regional footprints. The Transition of all 116 communities is expected to occur by year end 2025. SVC continues to make significant progress selling non core hotels and to delever its balance sheet. During the quarter, SVC completed the sale of 40 hotels for over $292 million and is on pace to sell a total of 121 hotels in 2025 for $959 million. SVC also successfully completed a zero coupon bond offering that raised $490 million in net proceeds that were used to repay SVC's revolving credit facility and retire the remainder of SVC's 2026 debt maturities. Beyond the deleveraging efforts, we remain focused on helping SVC drive EBITDA growth across its hotel portfolio despite softening demand and ongoing revenue displacement from renovation activity. Further, our organization continues to keep SVC's triple net lease portfolio which is anchored by the Travel Center's leased to investment grade rated BP well leased to ensure SVC benefits from the stable cash flows these assets generate. Seven Hills Realty Trust, our mortgage REIT delivered another solid quarter supported by a fully performing $642 million loan portfolio. Seven Hills Realty Trust has been exploring ways to generate new equity capital to ensure the REIT can continue to capitalize on the robust pipeline of investment opportunities our Tremont Commercial Lending team generates to that end, Seven Hills Realty Trust recently announced a rights offering to raise approximately $65 million in new equity, which should allow for over $200 million in gross new loan investments. The rights offering is structured so that shareholders of record on November 10 were given a transferable right to buy one new share for every two shares they currently own. Importantly, RMR, which is seven Hills largest shareholder, has agreed to backstop this offering, essentially acquiring any unexercised rights as a demonstration of our confidence in Seven Hills Realty Trust business prospects going forward. Lastly, in late October, opi, after exploring all possible strategies to address its capital structure, entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement, or RSA, with certain holders of its senior secured notes to restructure its corporate debt. As part of the RSA, OPI voluntarily initiated a court supervised process under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. This agreement will meaningfully strengthen OPI's financial position and delever the balance sheet. As part of the RSA, RMR has agreed to continue managing OPI for a five year term that starts upon OPI's emergence from bankruptcy. RMR will receive a flat Business Management Fee during the first two years of $14 million per year and our property management agreement will remain unchanged to support OPI's operations. During this process, OPI entered into a debtor in possession financing of $125 million. We remain committed to supporting the assets, vendors and tenants of OPI throughout this process and look forward to updating you as new information becomes available in the future. To conclude, we are pleased with the progress RMR has made over the past quarter, assisting our public company clients with their financial and strategic objectives. Our perpetual capital clients also provide RMR with stable cash flows which we can use to pursue new growth initiatives in the private capital space to drive future revenue and earnings growth. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Matt Jordan and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer to provide added insights on our platform and private capital growth initiatives.
Matt Jordan - Chief Operating Officer - (00:09:55)
Thanks, Adam Good morning everyone. As Adam mentioned, this past quarter was active on a number of fronts across the RMR platform. From a non residential leasing perspective, despite continued headwinds this past quarter, RMR arranged almost 1.4 million square feet of leases and for the full fiscal year almost 8 million square feet of leases at rental rates approximately 14% higher than previous rents for the same space. We believe these results speak to the hard work of our people, proactively engaging both tenants and the brokerage community. Beyond leasing, the platform continues to invest in our people, technology and brand building to ensure we stand out in a Competitive Fundraising Environment While fundraising remains challenging, we believe 2026 will be a better year for institutional investments in real estate, as recent conversations our capital formation team is having with potential partners have reinforced commitments to the United States and many sectors we operate in. Further, while many private capital investors are limiting how many new manager relationships they form, given the effort associated with underwriting a new manager, the breadth and scale of our platform remains an attractive differentiator. Our current fundraising efforts remain focused on residential credit and select development opportunities, though as I noted, the diversity and scale of our platform will allow us to pivot quickly based on investor feedback as it relates to Armar Residential, which currently manages almost $5 billion in value add residential real estate. We formally launched fundraising for the enhanced growth venture in early September. Our efforts are focused on finding up to three large investors to invest approximately $250 million in multifamily real estate. This venture is targeting value add returns and provides investors the ability to share in property level and General Partner Economics. RMR's commitment via almost $100 million in seed investments provides investors certainty that committed monies can be immediately put to work as well as providing them a portfolio they can readily underwrite. The seed investments include the two acquisitions closed this quarter for a gross aggregate cost of $143.4 million. One is a 266 unit property near Raleigh, North Carolina and the other is a 275 unit property near Orlando, Florida. We expect there to be meaningful updates regarding the enhanced growth venture by early spring. Within the retail sector, we continue to source investment opportunities as we build a portfolio of value add multi tenant retail properties as part of establishing a track record in this sector. Our first investment, a $21 million community shopping center outside of Chicago, closed earlier this year and is executing on its underwritten business plan. We are currently assessing market opportunities with the goal of entering adding at least two more similarly sized deals as it relates to our credit strategy. Although we expect to close on the sale of two loans that are on our balance sheet later this month, we continue to explore opportunities to form a strategic venture with institutional capital. Real estate credit remains a high conviction strategy and we believe Tremont's track record, middle market focus, and strong underwriting and asset management teams are attractive differentiators. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Matt Brown, Executive Vice President and our Chief Financial Officer.
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:13:31)
Thanks Matt, and good morning everyone. As Adam highlighted this quarter we reported adjusted EBITDA of $20.5 million, distributable earnings of $0.44 per share and adjusted net income of $0.22 per share, all of which were in line with our expectations. Recurring service revenues were approximately $45.5 million, a sequential quarter increase of approximately $1.5 million driven primarily by increases in enterprise values at DHC, ILPT, and SVC and higher construction supervision fees. Next quarter we expect recurring service revenues to decrease to approximately $42.5 million driven by lost fee revenue from the announced sale of Alaris Life's business and decreases in certain of our managed REIT's enterprise values from accretive debt financings and asset sales as we strategically manage their debt levels. Turning to expenses, recurring cash compensation was $38.5 million this quarter, which was consistent with the prior quarter. Looking ahead to next quarter, we expect cash compensation to decline to approximately $37 million as recent cost containment measures continue to positively impact earnings. We expect our Cash Compensation Reimbursement Rate to be between 46 and 47% going forward. Recurring G&A this quarter was $10.1 million, a modest sequential quarter increase driven by costs associated with our ongoing private capital fundraising efforts. We expect recurring G and A to remain at these levels over the next couple of quarters. Interest expense this quarter increased to $1.7 million following the acquisitions of two leveraged residential properties that Matt highlighted. Interest expense next quarter is expected to increase to approximately $2.6 million as we incur a full quarter of interest on these new mortgages. It is also worth noting that this quarter's income tax rate of 21.4% reflects year end adjustments primarily related to stock based compensation. For modeling purposes. We expect our tax rate to decline to approximately 15% in the first quarter based on our current forecast for incentive fees we may earn for calendar year 2025 and to approximately 18% for the second to fourth quarters. As Matt mentioned on the call last quarter, we believe cash flow measures such as adjusted EBITDA and distributable earnings per share are becoming more relevant when comparing our results to prior periods and other alternative asset managers. Our private capital business is accretive to our cash flow, but as we continue to use RMR's strong balance sheet for strategic growth initiatives, it expenses such as depreciation and interest will have an adverse impact on certain financial metrics such as adjusted net income per share. Aggregating the collective assumptions I've outlined, next quarter we expect adjusted EBITDA to be between 18 to 20 million dollars. Distributable earnings to be between 42 and 44 cents per share and adjusted net income to be between 16 and 18 cents per share. This expected decline in quarterly results is mainly due to the sale of Alaris Life's business. For the fiscal fourth quarter and full year, we earned 1.4 million and $5.7 million, respectively, of fee revenue on the Alaris Life contract. We expect to offset this lost revenue with increases in DHC's enterprise value as new operators that have well established regional footprints and proven track records should help drive NOI growth. We ended the quarter with $162 million of total liquidity, including $62 million in cash and $100 million of capacity on our undrawn revolving credit facility. Finally, as Adam mentioned, if September 30 was the end of the measurement period, we would earn incentive fees from DHC and Iopt of approximately $22 million in the aggregate. That concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, please open the line for questions.
OPERATOR - (00:17:30)
We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press Star then one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press Star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question comes from Mitch Germain with Citizens Bank. Please go ahead.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:18:02)
Hi, good morning. I'm curious about OPI's fee. Does it in effect go up quarter over quarter?
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:18:14)
Hi, Mitch. I think your question you broke up for me is about OPI's fees. Yes, effectively is pretty much flat. We were earning just under 14 million. Just under $14 million a year on a business management basis. It was like 13 and change over the last 12 months, give or take. And so we have a contract that will be earning 14 million fixed fee for the first two years per year. 14 million on the property management agreement. Nothing's changed. All the economics are the exact same as they were prior to the filing during the. Just to be very clear, during the pendency of the bankruptcy itself, we are operating under the existing contract, so we probably will earn a little bit less than a $14 million run rate during pendency of the bankruptcy. But upon emergence from the bankruptcy, that's when the clock starts and that's when the 14 million per year goes into effect. I'll just say, you know, it might be a correlator to your question. Look, the fact that we entered into what we call a restructuring support agreement, you know, we think leads to hopefully a much faster bankruptcy process and allows us to get out of bankruptcy hopefully faster than if we had not entered with an RSA. So it's a little unclear exactly when we'll emerge, but I think roughly speaking, its first half of 2026 will emerge.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:19:51)
Gotcha. Thank you. I think, Adam, you mentioned where your focus is on the private capital side in terms of fundraising. Maybe I missed it, but I didn't. Hear you mention shopping centers as a competency that you're raising capital for yet. You guys are obviously you own one and you're looking to allocate capital to others. So maybe just kind of go over where that sits with regards to your private capital strategy.
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:20:23)
Sure, Mitch. So it's a great question. Matt touched a little bit on this in his prepared remarks, but you're right, we have it on our balance sheet. We think we have a lot of core competencies in retail. We run a very large multibillion dollar existing retail portfolio. Today we have a very large, very competent retail asset management team.. It's not front and center, but already in parts of our organization given the size and breadth of the different portfolios. We do actually run shopping centers in different parts of the business, let's say buried within some other asset classes or buried within some of the portfolios. So we do have experience there. We think for a lot of reasons, investing in neighborhood and grocery anchored, specifically shopping centers, is a great thing to be doing right now. Retail has really gone through transformation over the last 10 to 15 years and we really have a pretty good supply demand dynamic going on where there's not a lot of new supply and demand is sort of finally caught up with the existing supply. And so we see a lot of interesting opportunities to basically put money to work. And through either capital improvements or retenanting a center, we can generate outsized returns. And we're doing that first on our balance sheet. But we think we're pretty confident that we're going to be successful with that and that we'll be able to then take that, you know, demonstrate that back record and raise more capital around that going forward. Matt, you want to add anything to that?
Matt Jordan - Chief Operating Officer - (00:22:08)
No, I think, Mitch, we have the one asset outside of Chicago. And the point we were making in the prepared remarks is we're hoping to at least add a couple more of similar size scale to build a fulsome track record that we can go out and fundraise around and hopefully a couple years from now.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:22:27)
Got you. And then did I hear that you guys have a couple of additional loan investments that are under agreement. Did I mishear that?
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:22:38)
We don't have new at RMR Group itself. We do not have any new loan investments. We are, I don't think we discussed in our prepared remarks, but it is our public disclosures we are selling or have an agreement to sell the two loans that we have on our balance sheet. Those are being sold. There's currently no plan to put more loans on RMR's balance sheet. What I did mention in my prepared remarks is we have a rights offering that we're in the middle of occurring at Seven Hills. And we expect as a result of that we'll have about $65 million of equity which provides for about $200 million in additional loan investments that we plan to deploy over the following, approximately six months to get that money out. And you know, if your average loan size is 25 million, that's call it, you know, eight loans, eight to 10 loans, give or take. That will be new loans that we'll be putting money out at Seven Hills.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:23:41)
Thank you. Last one for me, Matt. Maybe just kind of go through the puts and takes to get you to your forecast in the first quarter. Maybe a bridge from where you where. You ended. The fiscal fourth quarter to how you get to first quarter in terms of your guidance, please.
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:24:00)
Sure. I'll focus on adjusted EBITDA for that. So fiscal fourth quarter was 20 and a half million dollars. Our forecast for fiscal Q1 is 18 to 20 million. The major impact of that is the sale of Alaris Life business and the wind down of that. Today we earn 60 basis points on the revenue of our senior living communities. And as that winds down, we're expecting revenues to decrease about a million dollars for that alone. So that's the major headline from the decrease from fiscal Q4 to fiscal Q1.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:24:36)
Thank you.
OPERATOR - (00:24:40)
Again. If you have a question, please press Star then one. The next question comes from John Masoka with B. Riley. Please go ahead.
John Masoka - Equity Analyst - (00:24:50)
Good morning. Maybe just sticking with that question quickly. Is there any expected additional negative flow through from the loss of managing Alaris Life as we think beyond next quarter?
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:25:06)
So the full wind down should happen. By the end of this year. So while we're expecting about a million dollar decrease in fee revenue this coming quarter, we did earn 1.4 million in fiscal Q4. So there'll be another kind of $400,000 deduct when we roll forward the fiscal the second quarter.
John Masoka - Equity Analyst - (00:25:33)
And then moving on to OPI, can you just walk through what the advisory agreement looks like after two years? If you're still managing that portfolio?
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:25:49)
Sure. So it's a, it's, it's a term sheet we entered into with the, with the, with the. What will, like, what will be likely the new equity owners of OPI upon emergence. It's a five year term. The first two years are set at $14 million per year. In a business, management fees, the property management stays unchanged. And during the first two years, if now that 14 million stays the same, whether the portfolio shrinks or grows, doesn't matter what the size of the portfolio is. That sort of stays in place at 14 million per year. After two years, there's a negotiation. And I think, look, the reason it was set up that way is with the new owners of opi, I think there's a little bit of hesitancy about how to structure the fee in terms of what it should be based on because we're not quite sure exactly the size and the makeup of opi. Let's say over the next couple of years, we're confident and I think the new investors or new owners of OPI are confident that we will still be managing it over the next two to three years. But you know, as part of that, I think they just want to see how the next couple of years play out. What's the size of the company? You know, it's, you know, it could shrink from the size it is today. It could also grow from the size it is today. I mean, part of what we've had discussions with the new owners about is that this vehicle might be used and saying this will be used. I'm saying it might be used as a vehicle to roll up other distressed officer office portfolios in the marketplace. I mean, we're pretty encouraged that we found a group of investors that currently own the debt that wanted to equitize their debt and really want to go long on office because they really see as a great opportunity, both from a macro perspective. And I think they also feel pretty good about the portfolio itself. Meaning there's a lot of pain that the OPI portfolio has gone through, but the vast majority of that pain is behind us. Looking forward, it looks much better than what we've gone through over the last two or three years in terms of leasing prospects and cash flow or NOI that's going to be coming out from the property. The other thing I'll mention in the term sheet that's on file and is public is it also contemplates a significant incentive fee to be structured for RMR as well. It's anticipated that up front we will be getting 2% of the reorganized company and then another 8%. That's a little bit more ambiguous. But there will be benchmark to sort of outperforming Benchmarks may basically think about it as sort of structured like our classic promote that you might see in a private equity type investment. That's what I think the other 8% will be structured like. So I think there's going to also be a higher degree of alignment between the manager and the new equity owners in terms of performing, you know, doing a good job in managing the portfolio and generating a healthy return for those equity holders.
John Masoka - Equity Analyst - (00:29:22)
Kind of longer term question given you have the two year contract locked in contract in place, but how flexible is G&A spending to managing opi? I guess how much could you potentially bring down G&A if for whatever reason at the end of two years post emerging from bankruptcy, the portfolio goes a different direction or the owners want to go a different way? Is there a high amount of leverage into how you can pull down G&A if you're not managing OPI here in a couple of years?
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:30:00)
The short answer is we spent a lot of time thinking about that is as you know, John, we don't, you know, have P&Ls by business line. Right. That's one of the advantages of the economies of scale for our clients that they basically manage with rmr. And we get those economies, because we get to spread costs across the entire structure. So we don't have P and ls, let's say by business line or client. But I can tell you this much, office as an asset class is probably the most management intensive asset class that we manage at rmr. And so while I don't believe this will be the case, if we were to not be managing, let's say a large office portfolio at the company, I do think there would be significant cost cuts that we could take, I don't believe to even go even further. We're not quite sure where would happen to margins, but you know, there's a scenario where we might have less cash flow but higher margins. If you can follow me, because we just know intuitively there's a lot of people that work on the office portfolio versus other portfolios we run. So I think we would be able to in the unlike what I believe is unlikely situation where we are no longer managing a large office portfolio, I think we would be able to correspondingly reduce costs at the organization.
John Masoka - Equity Analyst - (00:31:34)
You touched on it a little bit with Mitch's question, but thinking about kind of seven hills and selling selling the loans that were on RMR's balance sheet to Seven Hills. What was kind of the logic there? Maybe I'm misremembering past calls, but it felt like there might have been an opportunity to grow the loan book within on the RMR balance sheet. Is there some kind of change strategically where you're no longer seeing that as attractive? Just kind of curious, the thought process behind that transaction. Yeah.
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:32:06)
John, it's Matt. So if we go back in time, about a year ago when we put these loans on our balance sheet, the goal was for them to be part of a seed portfolio to help us with the fundraising process. And they've been well performing incredibly strong loans that have contributed to RMR's earnings, quite frankly, in a significant way. But it's now been 12 to 18 months since those loans were initiated. And as we fundraise in a very competitive environment, I think it's fair to say one of the loans actually matures next July, I believe. So their attractiveness from a seed perspective had fallen off. And at the same time you have Seven Hills that's raising this significant money. We want to make sure they can quickly deploy those proceeds. And by selling these loans at par to Seven Hills, it allows them to start quickly deploying, secure their dividend, which is also critical to this rights offering. And it just was a successful transaction for both sides.
John Masoka - Equity Analyst - (00:33:17)
With Seven Hills in mind, any updates you can provide on how the rights offering is looking at this moment? I know obviously there's moving pieces and things you might not be able to talk about, but this was kind of curious if there was any outlook on the amount of the rights offering you expect RMR to participate in.
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:33:38)
Sure, John, So you mentioned it is sort of early and the way these rights, way rights offerings typically work, not just this company, but the way they always do, is unfortunately you really don't. Everyone sort of waits to the last minute, which, you know, you have to keep the rights out. You have to have the about a month outstanding before people have a deadline to exercise the right. And so whatever reason, and I guess it's, you know, people like to keep their options open to the very last minute. You just don't know to the very end how many people are going to be exercising their rights. What I can tell you is that, you know, as part of the rights offering, we retained UBS Investment bank as the dealer manager and part of their job, and one of their jobs is to basically solicit interest from outside investors that might want to buy the rights that other Shareholders want to sell, meaning shareholders that don't want to exercise. And while there's been very little trading, it's only been a few days in the REITs themselves. What has been encouraging is that we have had quite a bit of interactions with new shareholders that are interested in perhaps buying rights from other shareholders that don't want to buy, don't want to exercise them. Existing shareholders decide they don't want to exercise them so they want to sell them. And we are working with UBS to try to help identify potential buyers of those. And what I'm saying is it's too early to tell, but we're having lots of meetings. Right. And so there is interest out there. You know, to get to the heart of your question, which is, well, how much is RMR going to have to spend here or do we have to spend any. I think our base case assumption is that, you know, we don't expect that we're going to have to draw basically pull on the backstop beyond our 11% ownership, meaning we own 11%. Today we expect to exercise up to that 11%. You know, it could be that we end up exercising some amount. I think it would be less than, let's say half, if I had to guess. And so there's a possibility somewhere between 11% and 50% of the offering itself. We might have to, we might have to backstop. But again, it's very early. I mean, I do not believe it would be more than half the offering. I think that's, you know, pretty, pretty. I don't want to say locked in stone, but it's hard to imagine that scenario. And I think it's, you know, our base case is that we will just be exercise, you know, just exercising up to the 11%. Could we be end up exercising a little bit over that to fill out the backstop? Yes, but it's very hard to know for sure where the numbers are going to shake out.
John Masoka - Equity Analyst - (00:36:37)
I appreciate all that detail. That's it for me, thank you.
OPERATOR - (00:36:43)
We now have a follow up from Mitch Germain with Citizens Bank. Please go ahead.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:36:51)
Thank you very much. Just quickly on the. I know that Matt, you talked about a bit of a true up on interest expense because you've got a had it in place for a sub quarter. Do we have a similar true up for the. What's the true for the rental income associated with the two residential assets that were acquired mid quarter? How should we think about that?
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:37:15)
Yeah, I think, I think the best way to think about our wholly owned portfolio which includes the two residential acquisitions from the quarter is we're expecting about 3.2 million of NOI to be contributed on a quarterly basis for those while they remain on the balance sheet.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:37:33)
So that's aligned with this quarter. Is that the way to think about it? I think we're at 3.2 million right now.
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:37:43)
The owned real estate contributed about 650,000 of EBITDA in Q4. So that'll grow to just over 3 million on a run rate basis.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:37:56)
Okay, and then how should we think about. You guys are pretty flush with cash. But obviously with the rights offering and some acquisitions that you're making. So how should we think about, you know, that balance on a go forward basis?
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:38:14)
So you're right to point out the rights offering. I think it's hard for us to put a stake in the ground to say exactly where we think things will be as we sit today. We don't believe, based on all the actions we have underway, that we will be drawing on the revolver. That's not something we think, but it could be that we use more cash, obviously, than we have on the balance sheet. Today. We will be getting proceeds from the sale of the loans themselves. You know, they will be a liquidity event, we hope and think as we get into 2026, as we sell the Enhanced Growth Fund, what.
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:38:58)
Plus incentive fees.
Matt Brown - Chief Financial Officer - (00:38:59)
Plus incentive fees that we'll be getting hopefully at the end of the year. So we don't think we'll be drawing on the revolver, if that's maybe the question. It's hard to know exactly where the cash balance will be. I will say that we're not. We don't feel cash constrained. We're still very active in terms of all of our initiatives. In terms of continuing to look at other retail properties, we continue to look at sort of JV investments, GP investments on the residential side. So I think we feel that we're not constrained in our ability to continue to do things, but we are waiting to see where the rights offering shakes out and where the incentive fees actually shake out for the year.
Mitch Germain - Equity Analyst - (00:39:46)
Thank you.
OPERATOR - (00:39:51)
This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Adam Portnoy, President and Chief Executive Officer, for any closing remarks.
Adam Portnoy - President and Chief Executive Officer - (00:40:02)
Thank you all for joining our call today. Institutional investors should contact RMR Investor Relations if you would like to schedule a meeting with management Operator. That concludes our call.
OPERATOR - (00:40:15)
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. And you may now disconnect.
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